MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee3488d551756ba624fc79e558950f124610711a84e50241d69d697e24bd91a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Athletics, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $359,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Athletics | 35c | 234,464$81,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,665.97 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Yankees | 65c | 151,105$98,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,886.68 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 65c | 86,236$56,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,827.26 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Yankees | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Athletics | 35c | 19,928$6,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,974.87 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Athletics | 23c | 10,121$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Athletics | 17c | 8,127$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.48 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yankees | 76c | 5,031$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.54 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 22c | 4,787$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.77 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Athletics | 1c | 4,770$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Athletics | 23c | 4,445$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.44 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Athletics | 38c | 4,000$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.99 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 35c | 3,259$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.55 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Athletics | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Athletics | 35c | 2,884$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 10c | 2,749$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.88 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Athletics | 1c | 2,537$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 0c | 2,227$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yankees | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Athletics | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…4d56backed Athletics | 33c | 1,954$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 1c | 1,863$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 65c | 1,840$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.17 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Athletics | 6c | 1,800$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Yankees | 64c | 1,700$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Athletics | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yankees | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Athletics | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Yankees | 64c | 799.99$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Yankees | 64c | 637.86$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.63 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Athletics | 36c | 586.32$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.08 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 35c | 562.78$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.97 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Athletics | 35c | 499.96$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Yankees | 65c | 462.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.52 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Athletics | 37c | 450.31$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…9bc4backed Athletics | 5c | 434$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Athletics | 3c | 424.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 35c | 351$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Yankees | 65c | 308.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Athletics | 33c | 303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Athletics | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Yankees | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Athletics | 34c | 296.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics | 36c | 279.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Athletics | 22c | 223.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics | 36c | 219.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 35c | 210.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Yankees | 79c | 206.6$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Athletics | 38c | 193.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Yankees | 67c | 186.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yankees | 65c | 171$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yankees | 71c | 166.67$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yankees | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked Athletics | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yankees | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yankees | 68c | 130.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 20c | 130.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…b5c5backed Athletics | 37c | 129.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Athletics | 31c | 128.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yankees | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…cddabacked Yankees | 66c | 123.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Athletics | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225d…30a8backed Yankees | 67c | 107.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yankees | 65c | 104.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yankees | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Athletics | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…b119backed Yankees | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Athletics | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Athletics | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Yankees | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Athletics | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Yankees | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Athletics | 23c | 94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Yankees | 64c | 92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Athletics | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…9e6dbacked Athletics | 37c | 87.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…1b79backed Yankees | 64c | 83.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1369…fe32backed Yankees | 64c | 83.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…14fbbacked Yankees | 64c | 81.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d9…cbe4backed Athletics | 37c | 81.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 35c | 79.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Athletics | 28c | 76.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf19…8dcebacked Yankees | 64c | 76.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Athletics | 25c | 76.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…f856backed Athletics | 37c | 74.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…223bbacked Athletics | 37c | 72.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Athletics | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…0fdfbacked Yankees | 64c | 71.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 36c | 67.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Athletics | 31c | 64.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yankees | 64c | 60.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26c1…1098backed Yankees | 66c | 60.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…c9c8backed Athletics | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Yankees | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Athletics | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Athletics | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.