MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8da726ff633bc4c98a61b58f123d16cf2a3db50f52fd2b27d269fafd5ea91bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Reds, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $788,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $894,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Reds | 39c | 437,302$169,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169,530.54 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 63c | 136,233$85,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,822.47 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Phillies | 61c | 110,545$67,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,117.99 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 61c | 54,030$33,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,892.05 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Phillies | 62c | 45,031$27,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,111.78 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 62c | 44,765$27,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,092.74 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 60c | 43,842$26,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,667.9 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Phillies | 62c | 38,972$24,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,809.52 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 64c | 19,094$12,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,966.14 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 62c | 11,800$7,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,534 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 62c | 11,058$6,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,214.13 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e40…4141backed Reds | 38c | 9,998$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…2232backed Phillies | 62c | 9,997$6,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 67c | 9,961$6,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.82 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Reds | 32c | 9,461$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Phillies | 71c | 7,549$5,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.98 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Reds | 49c | 7,214$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Reds | 38c | 6,549$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.54 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Phillies | 61c | 6,508$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.38 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Phillies | 62c | 5,087$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.07 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Reds | 35c | 5,045$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.77 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…bdc1backed Phillies | 64c | 4,810$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 47c | 4,468$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,372.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…c0d7backed Phillies | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 61c | 3,969$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.35 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Phillies | 62c | 3,916$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.08 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Reds | 35c | 3,663$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.99 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Phillies | 62c | 3,394$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.63 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Phillies | 61c | 3,300$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 60c | 3,157$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.72 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Phillies | 63c | 3,038$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.19 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Reds | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Reds | 54c | 2,423$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Reds | 37c | 2,400$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Phillies | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Reds | 37c | 2,000$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4eb…161fbacked Phillies | 62c | 1,666$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…0bd2backed Reds | 38c | 1,664$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Phillies | 62c | 1,565$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.52 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Phillies | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Phillies | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Phillies | 62c | 1,239$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.16 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31f0…99e0backed Reds | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Reds | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…e004backed Reds | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Reds | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Phillies | 62c | 987$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.06 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 54c | 947.02$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.84 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 61c | 861$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.79 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Reds | 40c | 756.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Reds | 54c | 743.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 64c | 665.47$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.12 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Reds | 38c | 539.87$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 37c | 538.86$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.07 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Reds | 14c | 533.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Reds | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 61c | 426.08$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.17 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Phillies | 62c | 419.65$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.47 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 65c | 407.19$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.49 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Phillies | 62c | 402$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.76 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Reds | 37c | 396$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Reds | 55c | 394.11$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.76 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 60c | 373.13$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.25 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 62c | 366.67$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.31 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Phillies | 66c | 329$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Phillies | 63c | 323$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 63c | 318.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Reds | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Reds | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 47c | 276$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Reds | 37c | 270.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 39c | 269.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a94ebacked Reds | 43c | 266.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Reds | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 39c | 257$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 40c | 252.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 40c | 251.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Reds | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Phillies | 62c | 248.28$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Phillies | 62c | 244.55$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 38c | 238.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Reds | 35c | 230.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Reds | 38c | 222.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Phillies | 58c | 205$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…3868backed Phillies | 63c | 204.76$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Phillies | 64c | 197.96$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 26c | 188.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Phillies | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Phillies | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Phillies | 62c | 163.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Reds | 38c | 158$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Reds | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Phillies | 47c | 138.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.67 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.