Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb51a50d20f2a9958d1f6b8708444444eb40de531e157abd74b59d7da20156ed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $757,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $695,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $757,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 12c | 141,828$17,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,234.39 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 23c | 54,766$12,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,506.57 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 10c | 50,187$5,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,240.49 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 65c | 44,299$28,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,482.39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Yes | 34c | 27,810$9,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,418.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 66c | 24,043$15,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,107.03 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 33c | 20,843$6,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,918.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 31c | 16,817$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,138.07 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 17c | 12,412$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.03 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 4c | 9,387$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 74c | 8,683$6,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.67 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 20c | 7,535$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.57 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 79c | 6,797$5,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.06 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 67c | 6,154$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 29c | 6,119$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.04 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 59c | 5,970$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.7 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…d383backed Yes | 25c | 5,048$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 13c | 4,699$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed No | 73c | 4,564$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.73 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 20c | 4,039$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.05 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,849$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.91 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed Yes | 38c | 3,144$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,602$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 16c | 2,521$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 2,258$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.8 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…9094backed Yes | 32c | 2,174$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…e879backed Yes | 9c | 2,153$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +183.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…1015backed Yes | 31c | 1,996$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.89 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9682…738bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 67c | 1,665$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.29 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,631$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…e73bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,592$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 8c | 1,529$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…d8afbacked Yes | 24c | 1,457$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…0f3fbacked No | 76c | 1,414$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 66c | 1,270$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.5 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…84ddbacked Yes | 46c | 1,095$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…38f4backed Yes | 57c | 982.91$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 35c | 965$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.75 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed Yes | 51c | 933.52$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.26 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 65c | 911.54$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.33 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 49c | 900$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c0…28f4backed Yes | 17c | 887.76$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc588…2949backed Yes | 23c | 834.09$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 14c | 800$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6232…8687backed Yes | 3c | 795$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe047…e509backed No | 66c | 752.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadba…4facbacked Yes | 3c | 713$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2b…ac1cbacked Yes | 2c | 705$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff6…8a9bbacked Yes | 3c | 682$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…d748backed Yes | 3c | 662$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017f…ecfebacked Yes | 2c | 645$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…35babacked Yes | 3c | 642$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d37…a680backed No | 72c | 604.6$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…1207backed Yes | 3c | 588.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 588.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 58 | 5.2%3 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f20…9afdbacked Yes | 3c | 571$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 63c | 550$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6167…8533backed Yes | 56c | 540.81$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e9ffbacked Yes | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbeb…d12dbacked Yes | 3c | 494$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 8c | 493.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 11cpaid | +424.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5e02backed Yes | 3c | 484$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf633…0af4backed Yes | 3c | 469$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd31…e3edbacked Yes | 3c | 454$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed No | 68c | 450$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.95 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…6f18backed Yes | 15c | 448.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…ff63backed Yes | 3c | 422$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 7c | 418.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…82c3backed Yes | 3c | 405$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 45c | 400.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…21b2backed Yes | 3c | 395$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 17c | 382$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb2…be77backed Yes | 3c | 380$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…db98backed Yes | 36c | 369.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…a908backed Yes | 3c | 355$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9f…e006backed Yes | 3c | 353$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…8422backed Yes | 3c | 352$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Yes | 17c | 343.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6825…a1efbacked Yes | 3c | 343$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058d…3fe8backed Yes | 3c | 334$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…5c75backed Yes | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 35c | 300$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…5893backed No | 69c | 288.1$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 70c | 222$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…8b45backed Yes | 9c | 217.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…d231backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…32e3backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 21c | 199.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?this page
- Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 11% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 11% and 12% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes won
- Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.