MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x921aa309d9de959c69ca39773c17a63a332d7535957fb354098992b9dc0dfc70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Braves | 13c | 8,786$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.48 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 12c | 8,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.35 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 19c | 7,271$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 9c | 7,209$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.78 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Braves | 60c | 7,103$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.87 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 36c | 5,777$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Braves | 11c | 5,000$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.71 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 5c | 4,318$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.24 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Braves | 19c | 4,187$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.65 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Orioles | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 41c | 3,974$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.81 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 33c | 3,866$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.84 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Orioles | 42c | 3,400$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Braves | 58c | 3,372$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.11 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Braves | 59c | 3,126$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.09 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Braves | 58c | 2,986$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.7 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Orioles | 41c | 2,974$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.48 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Braves | 34c | 2,763$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.42 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Braves | 57c | 2,659$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.54 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Orioles | 42c | 2,500$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Orioles | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Braves | 59c | 2,450$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 40c | 2,410$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.07 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…2d0abacked Braves | 7c | 2,123$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Braves | 59c | 2,003$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.77 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Orioles | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.96 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Orioles | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.19 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Braves | 59c | 1,666$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.47 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 57c | 1,612$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.68 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orioles | 40c | 1,600$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.67 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Orioles | 45c | 1,583$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.85 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Orioles | 56c | 1,504$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.48 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8113…c32cbacked Braves | 58c | 1,374$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Orioles | 70c | 1,288$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.35 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Orioles | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Braves | 12c | 909.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Orioles | 25c | 900$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Orioles | 42c | 900$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…cf94backed Braves | 29c | 878.44$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Orioles | 43c | 698.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.79 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Orioles | 79c | 638.43$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Braves | 57c | 597.99$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.82 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Braves | 58c | 597.32$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 20c | 583.48$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Orioles | 70c | 553.12$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.12 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Braves | 59c | 508.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Orioles | 40c | 497.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Orioles | 43c | 488.02$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.7 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Orioles | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 58c | 476.19$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.19 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Orioles | 42c | 473.48$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.62 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 59c | 470$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.3 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Braves | 14c | 453.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Orioles | 46c | 419.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Braves | 59c | 405.37$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Braves | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Orioles | 36c | 349$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.36 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Braves | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Braves | 59c | 338.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Orioles | 43c | 323.47$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.47 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Orioles | 77c | 301$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Orioles | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 41c | 299.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Orioles | 61c | 268.83$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 65c | 247.8$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Orioles | 42c | 247.62$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Orioles | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Orioles | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Braves | 57c | 233$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Orioles | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Orioles | 43c | 231.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Orioles | 42c | 221.43$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Orioles | 40c | 210$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Braves | 12c | 198.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 11c | 193.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Braves | 6c | 190$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 23c | 189.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Braves | 13c | 175.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Braves | 58c | 170.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Braves | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Orioles | 63c | 158.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Orioles | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 42c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Orioles | 54c | 147.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…80efbacked Orioles | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Orioles | 55c | 143.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Orioles | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Braves | 16c | 136.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Orioles | 62c | 122.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Orioles | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Orioles | 42c | 117.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Orioles | 42c | 117$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Orioles | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Orioles | 52c | 103.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Orioles | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Orioles | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Orioles | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.