Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5a9f399a5d4943f976246bd0a01644c330c9d9d713537e0edf59b9af7cd0862

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 25, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $533,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $184,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $533,968 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	4c	43,344$1,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,710.38	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	17,317$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.82	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xede5…7802backed Yes	4c	13,375$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.15	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	4c	12,974$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.91	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	4c	11,106$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.24	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed Yes	1c	10,941$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.19	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	2c	10,844$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.07	271	5.2%14 W · 257 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	5c	8,632$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.85	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	6c	7,792$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.9	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	2c	7,500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes	5c	7,355$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.12	218	10.1%22 W · 196 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a52…c45cbacked Yes	1c	7,091$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	5c	7,000$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.52	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf5e…4168backed Yes	1c	6,825$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.33	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…77f1backed Yes	6c	5,779$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.2	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…9a73backed Yes	6c	5,323$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.63	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	5c	4,859$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.03	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes	5c	4,500$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.5	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	3c	4,262$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	0c	4,233$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.73	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Yes	1c	4,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.42	67	11.9%8 W · 59 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	-32%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe451…7920backed Yes	4c	3,983$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d57…a418backed Yes	4c	3,978$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	53	13.2%7 W · 46 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17c9…4c2abacked Yes	3c	3,939$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.07	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe893…f215backed Yes	1c	3,804$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.47	69	4.3%3 W · 66 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	5c	3,651$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.63	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	6c	3,200$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.62	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Yes	3c	3,124$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	3,061$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	1c	3,015$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6d8…7b80backed Yes	5c	3,000$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	120	15%18 W · 102 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes	6c	2,901$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.94	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+95.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x141c…7154backed Yes	2c	2,855$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.61	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	+10.5wins	+0.14per pick	31cpaid	+54.9%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e4d…e30fbacked Yes	3c	2,650$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0b8…9272backed Yes	2c	2,649$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	3c	2,585$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.84	181	8.3%15 W · 166 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	3c	2,553$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.11	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3235…6e6cbacked Yes	1c	2,456$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cdd…1fedbacked Yes	4c	2,354$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.86	62	8.1%5 W · 57 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	6c	2,295$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.68	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed36…a67cbacked Yes	6c	2,274$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.36	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	5c	2,214$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.17	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes	5c	2,178$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.73	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes	7c	2,170$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.23	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	18cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x910c…d7a7backed Yes	3c	2,140$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.86	75	16%12 W · 63 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66cb…020abacked Yes	1c	2,134$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-70%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes	1c	1,880$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	184	12%22 W · 162 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes	6c	1,850$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.28	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	+97.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa987…8059backed Yes	5c	1,810$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.63	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	3c	1,557$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa3bc…5c7bbacked Yes	1c	1,188$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05dd…4d45backed Yes	6c	1,170$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.39	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b89…e708backed Yes	6c	1,066$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.63	100	8%8 W · 92 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	6c	1,055$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.76	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda58…7ba8backed Yes	5c	1,035$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.47	155	11.6%18 W · 137 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac8…c3debacked Yes	3c	1,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	4c	1,000$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dba…9389backed Yes	2c	999.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+88.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	921.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.66	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa33f…79ebbacked Yes	5c	893.02$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…14b5backed Yes	6c	875.45$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	3c	862.12$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.93	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	4c	852.31$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.03	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed Yes	5c	822.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.34	85	14.1%12 W · 73 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f9…55f0backed Yes	5c	800$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+142.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd86d…648dbacked Yes	6c	800$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+78.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	3c	780.91$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	4c	748$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.25	147	15%22 W · 125 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2256…b932backed Yes	5c	720$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.88	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb26c…89afbacked Yes	6c	708$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65c6…7379backed Yes	6c	708$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2105…c514backed Yes	5c	685$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.94	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-43%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	3c	670$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.66	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	5c	603.84$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.49	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	3c	599$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.43	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	4c	581.55$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.13	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b4…1cbabacked Yes	2c	575$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1cb…c97fbacked Yes	8c	565.87$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x899d…4adcbacked Yes	6c	550$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.63	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfef…690dbacked Yes	5c	546$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd77e…d123backed Yes	6c	543$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44a5…4af4backed Yes	7c	521$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6580…d3e6backed Yes	5c	516$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0626…8b04backed Yes	6c	503$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cea…4eccbacked Yes	7c	500$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fb3…4393backed Yes	6c	499.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.77	138	21.7%30 W · 108 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ea…afa6backed Yes	4c	493.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e77…8876backed Yes	4c	480$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-79.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	4c	480$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	46	10.9%5 W · 41 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c91…a794backed Yes	2c	473$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6054…d55ebacked Yes	6c	463.64$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.49	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…ca64backed Yes	5c	410.06$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa568…6987backed Yes	6c	399.34$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.53	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d9…797cbacked Yes	5c	380$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f6…5e4dbacked Yes	6c	377.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.27	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c8…17d7backed Yes	7c	374.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57f8…330abacked Yes	5c	361.4$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.07	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81ed…1148backed Yes	4c	347$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf26e…ffcbbacked Yes	5c	344$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f8…a80abacked Yes	6c	338.31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.96	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-61%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?this page
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event