Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x978b2503227eb2ae56703ed69b5c4f12cc4e1b4d80a0415de6d1d7fe0e57e2e0

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 24, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $609,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $281,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,668 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	7c	35,483$2,589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,589.49	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf224…7532backed Yes	9c	25,198$2,359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,358.94	33	15.2%5 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	4c	18,985$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.53	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	6c	14,099$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.02	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x221d…7207backed Yes	1c	13,160$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.01	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…567bbacked Yes	2c	12,738$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.62	227	10.1%23 W · 204 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	-35%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed Yes	1c	11,746$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.87	97	7.2%7 W · 90 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	15c	8,642$1,309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,309.07	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	3c	8,284$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.72	181	8.3%15 W · 166 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Yes	15c	7,415$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,138	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	2c	6,714$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.13	271	5.2%14 W · 257 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	14c	6,645$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929.95	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51d6…3836backed Yes	6c	6,579$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.32	150	6%9 W · 141 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes	2c	6,515$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	5c	5,816$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.76	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	4c	5,782$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.09	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf5e…4168backed Yes	4c	5,691$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.75	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes	6c	5,376$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.67	192	2.1%4 W · 188 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes	18c	5,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x870a…bd43backed Yes	19c	4,968$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.08	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	4,716$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.57	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	4,657$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.96	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	8c	4,257$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.02	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…19cfbacked Yes	3c	4,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.6	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe451…7920backed Yes	12c	3,616$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes	8c	3,094$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.32	218	10.1%22 W · 196 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…8bacbacked Yes	16c	3,000$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482	67	20.9%14 W · 53 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	6c	2,999$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.3	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5643…5390backed Yes	13c	2,794$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373	46	15.2%7 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d8…7b80backed Yes	17c	2,710$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.47	120	15%18 W · 102 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…77f1backed Yes	7c	2,658$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.24	45	13.3%6 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e77…8876backed Yes	1c	2,645$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-79.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	15c	2,524$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.56	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d0…3b16backed Yes	20c	2,504$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes	9c	2,500$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.5	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	2,500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes	1c	2,301$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.85	147	15%22 W · 125 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+80.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	15c	2,266$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.75	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed Yes	5c	2,201$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.5	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Yes	12c	2,187$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.98	124	12.1%15 W · 109 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	16c	2,168$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.71	340	17.1%58 W · 282 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd081…0cfabacked Yes	7c	2,166$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.34	281	13.5%38 W · 243 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	17c	2,113$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.7	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f8…330abacked Yes	17c	2,078$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.32	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…9a73backed Yes	9c	2,027$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.39	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	3c	2,000$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.3	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7e3…6257backed Yes	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24db…5947backed Yes	14c	2,000$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	23cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd626…89cebacked Yes	1c	2,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	14c	1,909$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.25	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	18c	1,800$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.97	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3b…f625backed Yes	5c	1,743$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.76	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-41%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a47…f6d7backed Yes	4c	1,721$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.39	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-43%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6e0…8412backed Yes	1c	1,660$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.47	84	15.5%13 W · 71 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes	13c	1,629$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.24	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe79…9d68backed Yes	2c	1,615$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.93	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-83.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c0…a09dbacked Yes	6c	1,586$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.69	138	18.8%26 W · 112 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x465f…0cfdbacked Yes	11c	1,560$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1a…7690backed Yes	17c	1,541$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.22	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fb3…4393backed Yes	4c	1,500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.61	138	21.7%30 W · 108 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No	79c	1,418$1,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.89	209	73.2%153 W · 56 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x474c…37d3backed Yes	6c	1,374$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.14	410	17.8%73 W · 337 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Yes	7c	1,360$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.05	89	24.7%22 W · 67 L	-8.0wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65f6…5e4dbacked Yes	5c	1,309$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.31	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b1…cde7backed Yes	3c	1,303$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.28	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d37…2f72backed Yes	5c	1,293$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.39	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x013d…14b5backed Yes	4c	1,290$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.21	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac8…c3debacked Yes	10c	1,263$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.36	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x798f…cef0backed Yes	17c	1,250$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.5	430	17%73 W · 357 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dba…9389backed Yes	2c	1,242$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.76	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+88.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e4d…e30fbacked Yes	19c	1,213$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x912a…0f92backed Yes	14c	1,164$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.59	85	14.1%12 W · 73 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf545…315cbacked Yes	4c	1,123$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x465a…df39backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0223…34d1backed Yes	18c	1,102$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x899d…4adcbacked Yes	10c	1,100$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.25	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ca…64dfbacked Yes	3c	1,097$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.29	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc933…8527backed Yes	16c	1,096$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.51	159	21.4%34 W · 125 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a6e…0cf9backed Yes	3c	1,078$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes	8c	1,077$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.56	92	29.3%27 W · 65 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e7d…dd10backed Yes	8c	1,073$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.86	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cdd…1fedbacked Yes	14c	1,034$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.51	62	8.1%5 W · 57 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x428a…5547backed Yes	16c	1,023$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes	20c	1,018$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef3d…e9d5backed Yes	4c	1,013$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Yes	3c	1,001$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.75	157	17.8%28 W · 129 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes	4c	1,000$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	18cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Yes	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes	4c	1,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	149	23.5%35 W · 114 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b55…32c2backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	61	23%14 W · 47 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb0…4c27backed Yes	8c	972.73$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	504	5.2%26 W · 478 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00de…3e7dbacked Yes	11c	903.2$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.98	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes	15c	890.87$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.33	78	23.1%18 W · 60 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eaf…83b1backed Yes	5c	890.15$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.07	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec8…620cbacked Yes	4c	889.32$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.91	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc947…0e21backed Yes	6c	888.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	4c	853.93$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	5c	832.82$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.86	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf8…dba1backed Yes	19c	800$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?this page
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 18–25?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 18–25?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event