Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Iran on June 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dcb9711a01ad19fc4bddbd2f47795a6a4f8fc14738799ebc0e0a4600e6f9f81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $562,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $562,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 2c | 53,796$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.84 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 0c | 50,127$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…ebb9backed No | 0c | 37,847$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 4c | 18,828$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.56 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 9c | 17,990$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.34 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 3c | 15,887$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.96 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 4c | 14,346$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.7 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…cc82backed No | 1c | 12,607$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b98…a36ebacked No | 0c | 11,066$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 0c | 10,732$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 10,678$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…7d6bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…30b5backed No | 1c | 9,694$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked No | 1c | 9,575$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked No | 0c | 8,896$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…deaabacked No | 3c | 8,223$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…f391backed No | 4c | 7,737$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b19…d962backed No | 1c | 7,735$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 2c | 7,398$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 3c | 6,885$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 2c | 5,946$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -81%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 3c | 5,639$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed No | 3c | 4,945$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed No | 5c | 3,988$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 6c | 3,879$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -83%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…08c9backed No | 3c | 3,821$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…560bbacked No | 0c | 3,688$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…73e5backed No | 11c | 3,347$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 1c | 3,106$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked No | 5c | 3,000$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…5791backed No | 2c | 2,956$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…5d6cbacked No | 4c | 2,678$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed No | 8c | 2,632$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,382$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 4c | 2,250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked No | 2c | 2,202$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…7a6bbacked No | 1c | 2,137$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 8c | 1,773$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 9c | 1,615$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.6 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 14c | 1,560$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed No | 6c | 1,500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df2…5e4bbacked No | 2c | 1,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…eb1cbacked No | 1c | 1,448$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…fdb0backed No | 5c | 1,347$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…4a5abacked No | 2c | 1,320$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 17c | 1,299$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.83 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 7c | 1,250$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked No | 1c | 1,240$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 8c | 1,195$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca7…5361backed No | 3c | 1,122$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 11c | 1,077$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…9c69backed No | 2c | 1,048$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked No | 5c | 1,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 60 | 0%0 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 5c | 986.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd57c…afc6backed No | 2c | 957.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271c…af71backed No | 2c | 953.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…565fbacked No | 6c | 940.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…a504backed No | 2c | 801.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…eb1bbacked No | 3c | 747.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 3c | 673.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…3186backed No | 3c | 650$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f377backed Yes | 80c | 640.95$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…4b2cbacked No | 2c | 572.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed No | 18c | 549.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…549bbacked No | 19c | 522.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe731…c940backed No | 3c | 520.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…ccd5backed No | 5c | 509.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked No | 25c | 504.48$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e145backed No | 2c | 465.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…0636backed No | 3c | 446.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 6c | 431.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…370fbacked No | 3c | 430$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc1…3ee6backed No | 3c | 428.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 7c | 421$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 66 | 3%2 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f28…82e0backed No | 3c | 386.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…243ebacked No | 3c | 374.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked No | 9c | 370.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…ba6cbacked No | 28c | 357.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…c3d2backed No | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…3da7backed No | 14c | 354$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 6c | 341.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8b…856ebacked No | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c6…ab80backed No | 3c | 324.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc7…167ebacked No | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fa…3fa6backed No | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 23c | 262.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…8445backed No | 14c | 242.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…cddabacked No | 7c | 236.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb80…9d8abacked No | 9c | 205$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…46c5backed No | 10c | 201.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…fa62backed No | 23c | 200.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed No | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fad…b0e6backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e2…7882backed Yes | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel strike on Iran on June 17?this page
- Israel strike on Iran on June 14?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 15?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 16?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 18?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 19?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 20?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 22?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 23?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 25?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 26?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 27?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 28?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 29?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.