Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Iran on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa56c34613ba2e5315c78610dc2fcb3e42b77064f777f4b5fde5e71791892698b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed Yes | 7c | 24,815$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.64 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…0f92backed Yes | 30c | 17,818$5,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,326 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes | 5c | 10,997$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 72c | 8,818$6,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.25 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 4c | 8,374$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.72 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,648$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcb…63efbacked Yes | 1c | 5,790$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…d710backed Yes | 4c | 5,085$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…1183backed Yes | 2c | 4,975$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 16c | 3,580$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.32 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 3,480$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 9c | 3,471$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.22 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81a…eec2backed Yes | 2c | 3,446$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 1c | 2,905$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…1f53backed Yes | 4c | 2,801$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e3…9d7ebacked Yes | 18c | 2,093$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd7…95f6backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 10c | 1,995$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked No | 71c | 1,900$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.74 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…07b9backed Yes | 8c | 1,790$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.03 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb318…48cbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,580$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f2…5990backed Yes | 12c | 1,463$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.51 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 1c | 1,312$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -81%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 5c | 1,201$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…2ff6backed Yes | 4c | 1,183$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…9030backed Yes | 43c | 1,151$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 1,084$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.98 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 24c | 1,060$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0f…7b84backed No | 76c | 1,054$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b8…5201backed Yes | 21c | 1,018$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.97 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65d2backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 9c | 999.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 32c | 979.36$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.6 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…6521backed Yes | 11c | 921.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 3c | 884.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…71babacked Yes | 2c | 868.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…25bfbacked Yes | 16c | 858.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…6444backed Yes | 13c | 784.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6c…667bbacked Yes | 5c | 783.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 9c | 781.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 69c | 751.44$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.88 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 10c | 729.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0c…656ebacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1d…5de1backed Yes | 6c | 700.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 677.42$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 31c | 661.8$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes | 20c | 651.49$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Yes | 20c | 650.19$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.22 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked Yes | 3c | 642.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65e…afadbacked Yes | 14c | 633.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 4c | 633.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked Yes | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef42…c078backed Yes | 16c | 571.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Yes | 18c | 570.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +8.4wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…7653backed Yes | 40c | 548.04$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 74c | 526.84$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.46 | 48 | 83.3%40 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e07…c01abacked Yes | 14c | 522.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 61c | 504.83$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed Yes | 17c | 474.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 13c | 438.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…26b1backed No | 73c | 362.69$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 24c | 359.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…81cdbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…5390backed Yes | 8c | 357.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b80…109cbacked No | 58c | 345.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 76c | 339.6$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 38c | 319.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 79c | 302.15$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 46c | 300$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b3…0b3dbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…7b32backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b04abacked Yes | 6c | 298.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +195.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes | 3c | 295.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…6a1bbacked Yes | 39c | 286.63$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 67c | 277.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…8f8bbacked No | 80c | 277.86$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…12ddbacked Yes | 33c | 272.81$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 21c | 271.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 66 | 3%2 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 64c | 260.97$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 29c | 258.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…d312backed Yes | 7c | 242.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…5d1ebacked Yes | 8c | 240$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 73c | 238.79$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 9c | 233$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 11c | 233$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.37 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…7260backed Yes | 39c | 230.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed Yes | 7c | 228.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 7c | 222$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…13d1backed Yes | 9c | 221.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 40c | 218.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 11c | 213$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…3860backed Yes | 11c | 205.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel strike on Iran on June 26?this page
- Israel strike on Iran on June 14?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 15?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 16?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 17?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 18?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 19?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 20?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 22?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 23?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 25?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 27?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 28?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 29?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.