Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Iran on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x837b24f2899e9a6ee990e4ba6615e275e77c5da402a63b13c9c259cf07f50e81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf577…972ebacked No | 3c | 16,387$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…752bbacked No | 3c | 11,676$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e43…bb4abacked No | 1c | 11,100$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…4353backed No | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…1dd0backed No | 5c | 8,627$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 3c | 8,515$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.93 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 2c | 8,391$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…67b0backed No | 4c | 8,170$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 0c | 7,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 6,898$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf34…8816backed No | 4c | 6,641$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed No | 12c | 5,886$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed No | 4c | 5,299$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.56 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed No | 4c | 5,000$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.47 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 0c | 4,444$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…1183backed No | 4c | 4,175$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 1c | 3,265$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -81%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 5c | 3,214$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…a80abacked No | 1c | 3,129$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…fa1dbacked No | 12c | 2,811$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 3c | 2,553$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2e…0626backed No | 2c | 2,329$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68e…4b67backed No | 1c | 2,269$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…565fbacked No | 3c | 1,847$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa0…a852backed No | 1c | 1,843$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 78c | 1,745$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.28 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 1c | 1,543$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 2c | 1,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf1…bbd5backed No | 4c | 1,447$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed No | 6c | 1,296$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…2dd2backed No | 2c | 1,148$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c9…776abacked No | 4c | 1,053$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…9dc7backed No | 5c | 1,028$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…5d1ebacked No | 1c | 1,005$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…820cbacked No | 2c | 1,002$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…838bbacked No | 5c | 999.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 5c | 999.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…182cbacked No | 3c | 897.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed No | 2c | 856.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed No | 18c | 849.74$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…ba50backed No | 6c | 843.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +235%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x284f…31efbacked No | 1c | 810$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…e75bbacked No | 5c | 800$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 2c | 756.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 4c | 691$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd172…c627backed No | 5c | 630.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 4c | 600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed No | 15c | 595.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 3c | 588.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 4c | 583.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 18c | 558.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…e69dbacked No | 4c | 529.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +304.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…73eabacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…c5e3backed No | 16c | 484.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 12c | 481.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a4…91dabacked No | 5c | 441.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…d8d6backed No | 4c | 435.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…0067backed No | 4c | 434.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 3c | 392.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…e1d1backed No | 4c | 374.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 9c | 368.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…d071backed No | 4c | 353.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +154%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…7e61backed No | 30c | 335.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad3…8448backed No | 5c | 330.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 5c | 328.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5377…e6dabacked No | 6c | 327.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…6b4bbacked No | 6c | 321.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +215.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…049fbacked No | 6c | 308.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c8…e0cabacked No | 4c | 306.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…fe33backed No | 4c | 302.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…93cfbacked No | 7c | 297.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked No | 12c | 290.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce57…a278backed No | 4c | 265.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 5c | 264.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 66 | 3%2 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 7c | 256.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f3…9329backed No | 5c | 233.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…abb3backed No | 5c | 228$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1c…5798backed No | 7c | 226.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…ccd5backed No | 6c | 205.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…37d3backed No | 5c | 202$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed No | 14c | 155$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1120…70adbacked No | 14c | 138.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel strike on Iran on June 23?this page
- Israel strike on Iran on June 14?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 15?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 16?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 17?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 18?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 19?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 20?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 22?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 25?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 26?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 27?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 28?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 29?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.