Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8723ce398f9522cc16a0264a7a4a1eb1415df1c4dedcaccb0ac6c33f8f919878
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $486,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $447,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x883e…81a8backed Yes | 18c | 26,420$4,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,653.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce41…fa02backed No | 76c | 18,794$14,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,441.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…1382backed Yes | 18c | 8,178$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 4c | 8,164$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.93 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65d2backed Yes | 5c | 8,004$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.69 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…ff69backed No | 74c | 7,678$5,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…cb72backed Yes | 8c | 7,517$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.4 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…9b2ebacked No | 53c | 7,108$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,313.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 69c | 6,463$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.25 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 19c | 6,122$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0f…7b84backed No | 66c | 6,016$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 18c | 5,390$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.23 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…61b0backed No | 74c | 4,753$3,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c1…708fbacked Yes | 7c | 4,632$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 5c | 4,628$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.74 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…10fbbacked No | 73c | 4,611$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653a…bb03backed Yes | 43c | 4,610$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 10c | 4,571$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.71 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f73…dbb4backed Yes | 29c | 4,320$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 4,046$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.87 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 23c | 3,903$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.64 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 74c | 3,863$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.08 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 59c | 3,702$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.33 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 35c | 3,680$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.6 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 12c | 3,520$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.29 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…e494backed Yes | 12c | 3,327$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8050…14b7backed Yes | 48c | 3,271$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 13c | 3,232$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.01 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…9030backed Yes | 31c | 3,224$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b8…5201backed Yes | 10c | 3,177$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.32 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 11c | 3,085$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Yes | 22c | 3,056$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.84 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.33 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…f308backed No | 16c | 2,956$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…26b1backed No | 74c | 2,855$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.38 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 13c | 2,847$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.16 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 2c | 2,775$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 2,740$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,698$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed Yes | 43c | 2,670$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.3 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb318…48cbbacked Yes | 8c | 2,640$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 59c | 2,598$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.43 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes | 5c | 2,572$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.98 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3188…1b22backed Yes | 15c | 2,569$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…a3dfbacked Yes | 6c | 2,481$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 64c | 2,473$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.98 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,390$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.47 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,080$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.54 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…5f1cbacked Yes | 58c | 2,077$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 6c | 2,057$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.02 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 77c | 2,056$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.38 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…565fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,001$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,950$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f20…d870backed Yes | 5c | 1,927$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 22c | 1,900$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed No | 80c | 1,872$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.58 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…5c22backed Yes | 12c | 1,771$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e82…f3b0backed Yes | 18c | 1,703$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 8c | 1,517$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed No | 57c | 1,514$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…b228backed Yes | 38c | 1,512$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,512$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -81%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 79c | 1,419$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f2…5990backed Yes | 13c | 1,315$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…81cdbacked Yes | 8c | 1,308$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…6521backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 74c | 1,165$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.53 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aafbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,135$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 56c | 1,070$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked No | 78c | 1,066$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.68 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…1db6backed No | 69c | 1,057$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…70d8backed Yes | 42c | 1,036$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.52 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 19c | 1,032$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 18c | 1,024$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.09 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…5227backed Yes | 37c | 1,021$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…29c6backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…6c9ebacked No | 79c | 1,000$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 22c | 1,000$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…9440backed Yes | 11c | 990$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 8c | 981.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…5390backed Yes | 34c | 931.82$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…0d08backed Yes | 49c | 909.88$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 21c | 892.53$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.46 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…4326backed Yes | 9c | 877.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed Yes | 11c | 875.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2508…474ebacked Yes | 6c | 856.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0db…e549backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed No | 74c | 832.23$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 821.4$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.19 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 20c | 799.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 20c | 791.33$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.27 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6e…6f22backed Yes | 10c | 791.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Yes | 13c | 781.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +8.4wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +48%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 9c | 750$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b80…109cbacked No | 53c | 750$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…29d0backed Yes | 9c | 749.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes | 5c | 722.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfca5…701abacked Yes | 14c | 717.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…7eacbacked Yes | 6c | 716.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…d0eebacked No | 80c | 716.8$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel strike on Iran on June 25?this page
- Israel strike on Iran on June 14?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 15?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 16?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 17?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 18?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 19?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 20?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 22?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 23?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 24?Yes won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 26?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 27?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 28?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 29?No won
- Israel strike on Iran on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.