MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb6c33c962b35d118ab99a502e5d96af751c26bc2d42ba048e0ad73312892dc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Marlins | 45c | 97,539$43,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,767.01 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers | 55c | 50,028$27,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,512.38 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 19c | 20,564$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.28 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Brewers | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 55c | 9,157$5,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.33 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 20c | 8,504$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.43 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Brewers | 53c | 6,512$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.41 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins | 47c | 5,996$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.99 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins | 43c | 4,669$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.47 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 39c | 4,425$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Brewers | 56c | 3,569$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.46 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Marlins | 43c | 3,502$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.37 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Marlins | 47c | 3,017$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.17 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Brewers | 55c | 2,890$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.61 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Brewers | 62c | 2,883$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.96 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 45c | 2,843$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.89 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 55c | 2,818$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.18 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Brewers | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Brewers | 43c | 2,537$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.54 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Marlins | 44c | 2,400$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…bdc1backed Marlins | 45c | 2,395$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Marlins | 43c | 2,300$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.92 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Brewers | 57c | 2,226$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.18 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 55c | 2,145$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.21 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 60c | 2,134$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.11 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Brewers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Marlins | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Brewers | 62c | 1,389$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.82 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…f642backed Marlins | 48c | 1,280$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67f5…951cbacked Brewers | 52c | 1,279$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Marlins | 42c | 1,111$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.62 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Marlins | 45c | 1,050$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.49 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 29c | 993.15$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.66 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…2b89backed Brewers | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Brewers | 54c | 888$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.48 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 52c | 874.26$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.03 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Marlins | 13c | 776.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Marlins | 28c | 660.43$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.35 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…f88dbacked Brewers | 50c | 651.32$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.66 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 39c | 607.77$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.24 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Marlins | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.99 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Brewers | 57c | 589.16$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.16 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Marlins | 5c | 577.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Marlins | 45c | 560$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Brewers | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Marlins | 29c | 524.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Brewers | 54c | 521.62$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.17 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Marlins | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Brewers | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 46c | 465.49$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.02 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Brewers | 56c | 464.39$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.44 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Marlins | 48c | 429.92$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.75 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Brewers | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Marlins | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Brewers | 54c | 385.8$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.47 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Brewers | 52c | 384$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Brewers | 45c | 368.43$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.9 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Brewers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Brewers | 55c | 317.72$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.44 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 54c | 310.34$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.76 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Brewers | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 19c | 272.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 39c | 270.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Brewers | 55c | 250.91$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Marlins | 21c | 240$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Brewers | 55c | 223.51$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Marlins | 21c | 213$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Brewers | 50c | 201.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Brewers | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…f24cbacked Marlins | 52c | 192.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 53c | 189.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Brewers | 45c | 188.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Brewers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Marlins | 44c | 172.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x440b…d50cbacked Marlins | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Marlins | 60c | 166.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Marlins | 45c | 149.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Brewers | 56c | 147.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Marlins | 45c | 129.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794f…5818backed Brewers | 55c | 127.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 50c | 124.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…181cbacked Marlins | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Brewers | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Brewers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Brewers | 55c | 99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Brewers | 45c | 91.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.