TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Giants, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$458,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$472,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $458,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65e4…a3bdbacked Athletics39c313,892$120,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,935.5610844.4%48 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Giants61c135,000$82,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,32586751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Giants62c40,896$25,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,540.450852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Giants62c37,912$23,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,406.5655053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Giants61c30,000$18,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,70041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Giants70c17,143$11,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,150.6719452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants62c17,133$10,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,596.211,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7225…293abacked Athletics37c10,890$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0004047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants61c10,200$6,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9431,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Athletics12c6,820$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.9817927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants62c5,145$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.852,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Athletics10c4,352$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.921060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Giants62c3,618$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.5938249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Giants61c3,393$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.4197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Giants62c3,387$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.132852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Giants72c3,340$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.1969249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Giants61c3,300$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,28714446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Giants61c3,270$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.2766645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Athletics37c3,097$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.7925550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics4c2,610$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.21,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Athletics1c2,390$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.494754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics38c2,222$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.31,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics10c2,195$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.932,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Athletics2c1,750$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2696133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Giants74c1,709$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.6968769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Giants63c1,673$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.841,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Giants64c1,655$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.3580955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Giants62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.913151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Giants62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.913553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dc5…c0d7backed Giants62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Athletics37c1,450$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.555653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Athletics36c1,313$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.671751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Giants62c1,300$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49495850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Athletics17c1,200$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20818243.4%79 W · 103 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Athletics39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Athletics16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.514966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Giants61c939.98$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.1961346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Giants62c867.34$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.595,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants61c861$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.7973352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Athletics39c811$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2931346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Athletics5c770$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0213138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Athletics39c658$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.629332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics2c656$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.938762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants75c639.87$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.029,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1f…ab66backed Giants62c550$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2092751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db6…08d3backed Athletics37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Giants77c516.13$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.135763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Athletics32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16042452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Giants61c480.16$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.465764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Giants62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.231,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x516a…84f6backed Giants62c341.05$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.66435.9%23 W · 41 L-11.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Athletics31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Giants62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5817754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Giants64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.538455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1172,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Giants62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Giants61c299.99$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11727953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Athletics38c299.98$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9924248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Giants61c299.98$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9951151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Giants68c292.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2539160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Giants62c288.04$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4625952.5%136 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Athletics37c283.78$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Giants63c270.98$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2640548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Athletics39c257$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.231,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Athletics39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017037.6%64 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants62c248$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.242,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Athletics38c225.13$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8557545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Athletics15c213.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0622312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Athletics39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Giants62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7692754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Athletics18c195.66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3638743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede4…2febbacked Athletics37c189$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x102c…a24cbacked Giants62c165$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.716251.9%84 W · 78 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Athletics39c164.1$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6422351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Athletics25c162.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9552542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Giants62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2937857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Giants62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.295341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Giants62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2931356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdef7…4fd2backed Giants65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564450%22 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea6…cf94backed Giants62c157$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.661533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Giants62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x469b…6a97backed Athletics37c144$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x520d…fe4bbacked Athletics37c138.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55bd…8d4ebacked Giants64c138$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Athletics39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508848.9%43 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45ff…7d42backed Giants64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e1a…0defbacked Athletics37c109$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86ab…be98backed Giants64c107$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Giants72c107$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3327458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Athletics38c105.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9724553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Athletics39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x385a…08d1backed Athletics23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Giants62c90$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.21,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Giants80c88.69$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c0…5b10backed Athletics39c88.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1716…eedbbacked Athletics37c88$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…dc8ebacked Giants64c86$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x794f…5818backed Giants62c85.48$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.489663.5%61 W · 35 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.