Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Alcaraz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23ca6e03790b5c36b7ee41b9ac5bc6b9eb563da1d3c4dd3de98d9038ec77f951
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Rublev, Alcaraz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $388,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked Rublev | 8c | 35,933$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Rublev | 20c | 32,004$6,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,296.55 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Rublev | 8c | 16,535$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.54 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Rublev | 11c | 15,000$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.5 | 527 | 44.6%235 W · 292 L | +30.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rublev | 8c | 14,704$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.36 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rublev | 8c | 13,451$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.08 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…7dd4backed Alcaraz | 73c | 12,984$9,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Rublev | 5c | 11,894$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.57 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Rublev | 1c | 9,312$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -39%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rublev | 25c | 8,123$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.81 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rublev | 9c | 7,987$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…f52cbacked Rublev | 22c | 7,400$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.23 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Rublev | 9c | 7,278$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…389dbacked Rublev | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Rublev | 18c | 6,289$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9715…e33ebacked Rublev | 15c | 6,190$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…e69bbacked Rublev | 21c | 4,795$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Rublev | 9c | 4,615$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.38 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Rublev | 9c | 4,175$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.02 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…657ebacked Rublev | 9c | 3,845$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rublev | 9c | 3,737$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.31 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Rublev | 8c | 3,580$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.18 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Rublev | 14c | 3,412$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.68 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Rublev | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Rublev | 1c | 2,972$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rublev | 17c | 2,822$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.93 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97be…416dbacked Rublev | 15c | 2,757$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Rublev | 11c | 2,666$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…a496backed Rublev | 16c | 2,500$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.18 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rublev | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Rublev | 2c | 1,907$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Rublev | 19c | 1,885$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.14 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Rublev | 2c | 1,661$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Rublev | 20c | 1,531$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.86 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Rublev | 10c | 1,253$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Rublev | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rublev | 8c | 1,175$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rublev | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rublev | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Rublev | 9c | 1,088$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.29 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Rublev | 10c | 999.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7b…b433backed Rublev | 12c | 998.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Rublev | 9c | 900$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rublev | 9c | 833.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…3a28backed Rublev | 15c | 820$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Rublev | 9c | 808.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…60abbacked Rublev | 12c | 793.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7003…bc5abacked Alcaraz | 77c | 725.65$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Rublev | 13c | 700$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked Alcaraz | 74c | 699.99$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Rublev | 15c | 671.73$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…fd58backed Rublev | 18c | 656.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Rublev | 9c | 639.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Rublev | 10c | 637$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Rublev | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Rublev | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Rublev | 10c | 430.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Alcaraz | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Rublev | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…7cddbacked Rublev | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rublev | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…af0ebacked Alcaraz | 78c | 399.99$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Alcaraz | 80c | 365.76$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…9b6ebacked Rublev | 10c | 312$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Rublev | 8c | 310$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Rublev | 7c | 306$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Rublev | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Rublev | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 665 | 31.3%208 W · 457 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Rublev | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rublev | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a6…1198backed Rublev | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Rublev | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Rublev | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…53e9backed Rublev | 28c | 221.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Rublev | 15c | 204.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rublev | 9c | 202.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03db…c28bbacked Rublev | 14c | 188$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Rublev | 9c | 188$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Rublev | 20c | 174.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Rublev | 9c | 173$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Rublev | 9c | 170$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Rublev | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Rublev | 9c | 153.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Rublev | 9c | 139.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…302abacked Alcaraz | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7688…d12fbacked Rublev | 18c | 135.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Rublev | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9c…0fe6backed Alcaraz | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…dab2backed Rublev | 12c | 119.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Rublev | 16c | 119.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d0…f6cabacked Rublev | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Rublev | 10c | 107.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…932ebacked Rublev | 11c | 102.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Rublev | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed Rublev | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…d4d8backed Alcaraz | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed Rublev | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Rublev | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,332 | 46.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Rublev | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09de…889abacked Rublev | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.