Us Politics · resolved market
Will Andrew Cuomo win Manhattan in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5d75d46c378d42e996c30b70f7a9116857755f7de56229f1bc0fde9a73a84a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 67c | 7,104$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.32 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 1c | 3,903$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 4c | 3,303$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…0a49backed Yes | 57c | 3,218$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.33 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 36c | 2,667$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.92 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 63c | 2,390$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.52 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 73c | 2,195$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.42 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,194$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.06 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes | 68c | 2,020$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…fe11backed Yes | 57c | 1,180$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546c…9b5cbacked No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x310c…cf0abacked Yes | 63c | 970$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked No | 35c | 776.91$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.23 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…132dbacked No | 33c | 739.12$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.05 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed No | 43c | 712$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.15 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…9778backed Yes | 3c | 708$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…2573backed No | 48c | 651.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed No | 35c | 614.93$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.22 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…ec73backed Yes | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1de…5834backed No | 49c | 367$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 65c | 320.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 57c | 319.98$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.19 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked No | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 69c | 300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 41c | 284.75$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked Yes | 62c | 255$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed No | 39c | 254.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.17 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 65c | 249.51$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.03 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 64c | 226.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked Yes | 58c | 211$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.49 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Yes | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +179%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 57c | 160$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 49c | 160$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 63c | 138.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 45c | 129.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed Yes | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…f2c9backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdf…d7a2backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…8dc6backed No | 52c | 76.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 67c | 65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 32c | 55.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 65c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0f…4a79backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016d…0345backed Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf0…d55dbacked Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2242…ce59backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 240 | 35.4%85 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbc…0c54backed No | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Cuomo win Manhattan in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?this page
- Will Andrew Cuomo win Brooklyn in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo win Queens in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes won
- Will Andrew Cuomo win The Bronx in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.