MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39776adc0adbf41c7997f832f63c5b95aafa1dffd5fbd4a03be83c265e1eba1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $261,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 41c | 32,648$13,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,413.35 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 55c | 15,902$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,749.96 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Astros | 65c | 12,267$7,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,985.71 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 30c | 11,651$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.81 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Guardians | 52c | 10,893$5,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,191.54 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…7c98backed Astros | 66c | 9,996$6,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,597.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e58…aaafbacked Guardians | 34c | 9,996$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,597.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 60c | 9,753$5,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,835.38 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 24c | 7,268$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 35c | 6,773$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407.76 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 62c | 5,242$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.33 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians | 41c | 5,164$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.56 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Astros | 57c | 4,798$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,739.17 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Astros | 67c | 4,489$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Astros | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 34c | 3,636$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Guardians | 34c | 3,165$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.11 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Astros | 46c | 3,046$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.26 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Astros | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…de56backed Astros | 31c | 2,570$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Astros | 53c | 2,561$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 41c | 2,482$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.33 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 20c | 2,360$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.36 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0d…18ddbacked Guardians | 34c | 2,100$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Astros | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b3…8321backed Astros | 19c | 1,991$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…c1a7backed Astros | 66c | 1,982$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Astros | 47c | 1,916$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.14 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…836bbacked Guardians | 34c | 1,900$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 48cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…56e8backed Guardians | 34c | 1,900$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2a…a437backed Guardians | 34c | 1,900$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Astros | 8c | 1,885$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Guardians | 36c | 1,845$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.8 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…032fbacked Astros | 66c | 1,818$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Astros | 64c | 1,800$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Guardians | 37c | 1,670$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.89 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Guardians | 77c | 1,668$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.07 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Astros | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 35c | 1,467$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.55 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 44c | 1,463$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…8297backed Guardians | 47c | 1,404$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.84 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 53c | 1,376$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.21 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 35c | 1,304$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.6 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…7951backed Guardians | 76c | 1,252$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.02 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Astros | 31c | 1,234$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Guardians | 36c | 1,214$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.72 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 63c | 1,193$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.28 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Guardians | 35c | 1,172$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.24 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…a674backed Astros | 66c | 1,161$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…b373backed Astros | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696d…ebf8backed Guardians | 34c | 1,050$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…12e0backed Astros | 66c | 1,050$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…03aebacked Astros | 66c | 1,009$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c3…5654backed Guardians | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 42c | 1,000$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.31 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Guardians | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Astros | 22c | 1,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.39 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d8…f77abacked Astros | 66c | 939$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 54c | 920.31$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.01 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…d435backed Guardians | 34c | 900$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Guardians | 34c | 896.93$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.48 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…a574backed Astros | 66c | 891$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Astros | 65c | 810.77$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Astros | 63c | 810.63$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.7 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0f…949abacked Astros | 66c | 800$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Guardians | 35c | 776.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.04 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Guardians | 34c | 763.64$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.29 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Astros | 3c | 753.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Astros | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Astros | 54c | 674$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.96 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 34c | 641$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.06 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Guardians | 34c | 599.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Guardians | 64c | 543.5$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.19 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Guardians | 37c | 523.76$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.97 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Astros | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Astros | 64c | 499.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Guardians | 35c | 497.37$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.27 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Guardians | 62c | 485.13$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.86 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Guardians | 36c | 470$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.8 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Astros | 38c | 416.87$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 33c | 415.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.72 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Astros | 40c | 408.48$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.95 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Astros | 52c | 400.39$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.51 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Astros | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Astros | 65c | 388.42$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Astros | 56c | 354.65$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.71 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 58c | 351.52$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 39c | 337.2$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.34 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Astros | 5c | 311$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Astros | 41c | 310.95$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.91 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Astros | 64c | 304.7$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.01 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Astros | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Guardians | 33c | 303$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Astros | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Astros | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.