Middle East · resolved market
Iran strike on Israel in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0ede82fa0c5604bf0dccd32d8ba909f5cebe1c594357754cb18a74d365f6e5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,070,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,117,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,070,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fbb…377abacked No | 5c | 100,891$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked No | 6c | 67,114$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.88 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3385…fc58backed No | 9c | 28,131$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…9766backed No | 10c | 24,472$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 5c | 23,870$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.79 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked No | 3c | 20,000$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.49 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 6c | 19,061$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.19 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39bf…b8e1backed No | 9c | 18,447$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed No | 5c | 18,198$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.83 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…aaddbacked No | 13c | 12,478$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.03 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 1c | 11,531$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 1c | 10,702$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -81%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…bd20backed No | 1c | 9,033$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed No | 7c | 8,348$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.3 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…b1e6backed No | 7c | 8,143$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.95 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked No | 11c | 8,060$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 36c | 7,946$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,095.56 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked No | 5c | 7,716$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.2 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -85%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed No | 5c | 7,562$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 7,473$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.21 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 64c | 6,735$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.7 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -7.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 6c | 6,192$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf13…690abacked No | 7c | 6,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed No | 12c | 5,896$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c7f9backed No | 5c | 5,560$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed No | 2c | 5,486$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.37 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 11c | 5,281$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.88 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…c13fbacked No | 10c | 4,998$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 5c | 4,899$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.98 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd712…228dbacked No | 7c | 4,859$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed No | 4c | 4,740$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.18 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa972…c839backed No | 68c | 4,435$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…bae5backed No | 9c | 4,251$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…e4bdbacked No | 0c | 4,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 62c | 4,050$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25df…6fffbacked No | 13c | 4,000$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 33c | 3,840$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.56 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…13d9backed No | 2c | 3,812$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed No | 10c | 3,000$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 60c | 2,900$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 8c | 2,687$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.97 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 12c | 2,607$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.81 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 2c | 2,412$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 2,281$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…17a9backed No | 1c | 2,270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…ced9backed No | 9c | 2,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…3284backed No | 11c | 2,232$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…6a1dbacked No | 8c | 2,151$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f51ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,054$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.47 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed No | 11c | 2,011$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…d639backed No | 8c | 2,000$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked No | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.63 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 74c | 1,960$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.58 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 3c | 1,930$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 5c | 1,800$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.1 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…5559backed No | 6c | 1,691$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb049…cc61backed No | 8c | 1,680$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…9bdbbacked No | 6c | 1,657$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…9ec2backed No | 59c | 1,600$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 70c | 1,568$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.42 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed No | 8c | 1,533$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 19c | 1,466$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.93 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…609fbacked No | 14c | 1,426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…d9febacked No | 2c | 1,331$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…a51cbacked No | 3c | 1,265$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…a608backed No | 14c | 1,241$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d91…186ebacked No | 14c | 1,221$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…19f4backed No | 8c | 1,187$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked No | 62c | 1,112$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…fc4bbacked No | 9c | 1,100$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…2fdfbacked No | 8c | 1,073$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 25c | 1,066$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.34 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2e…676dbacked No | 37c | 1,061$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 9c | 1,051$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…2eaabacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 6c | 990$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked No | 64c | 981$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.84 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 62c | 976.99$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.28 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e8…6297backed No | 4c | 973.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked No | 9c | 968.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed No | 7c | 962.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked No | 11c | 905.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed No | 12c | 905.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…1174backed No | 5c | 872.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 47c | 856.77$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.3 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…6657backed No | 9c | 825.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 26c | 809.77$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.76 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…1925backed Yes | 45c | 780.51$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.34 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…e7cebacked No | 6c | 772.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…32debacked No | 4c | 770.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed No | 11c | 748.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked Yes | 27c | 706.31$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.02 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf206…8cf6backed Yes | 24c | 700.28$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.22 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…021ebacked No | 15c | 687.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4014…f72cbacked No | 10c | 630$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57c…afc6backed No | 13c | 624.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…f0afbacked No | 8c | 600$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…25bfbacked No | 8c | 597.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.