MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98e953c9136c4e0fa728ddfa3599a2a5abff09ed8194d12ae21cd82cc305b58e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Pirates, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Pirates | 11c | 18,867$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 63c | 14,277$8,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,282.59 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 63c | 10,858$6,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.45 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…fb11backed Pirates | 37c | 10,811$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Pirates | 36c | 10,165$3,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.46 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…7794backed Mariners | 73c | 9,998$7,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6656…c7c0backed Pirates | 27c | 9,993$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners | 73c | 8,666$6,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.25 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Mariners | 63c | 7,291$4,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0512…6f17backed Pirates | 32c | 6,447$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pirates | 37c | 5,587$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.45 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 68c | 4,696$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.12 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Pirates | 37c | 4,144$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 37c | 3,246$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.02 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 70c | 3,224$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.94 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Pirates | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Mariners | 63c | 2,800$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pirates | 1c | 2,504$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 20c | 2,387$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 63c | 2,248$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Mariners | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners | 70c | 1,986$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.76 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Pirates | 37c | 1,892$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Pirates | 33c | 1,436$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.68 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Pirates | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Pirates | 1c | 1,182$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Pirates | 38c | 1,180$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.6 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pirates | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Pirates | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Pirates | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…2b89backed Mariners | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Pirates | 2c | 707.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pirates | 3c | 684$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Pirates | 37c | 676$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.12 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Pirates | 38c | 438.95$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.41 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Pirates | 57c | 430.24$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.9 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 38c | 414.06$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mariners | 59c | 389$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.94 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Pirates | 31c | 385.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 36c | 379.92$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.17 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Mariners | 62c | 328.71$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners | 62c | 328$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.64 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pirates | 6c | 328$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Pirates | 20c | 303.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Pirates | 37c | 300.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Pirates | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 37c | 268.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Pirates | 27c | 257.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Pirates | 20c | 253$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Mariners | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 70c | 206.12$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 20c | 176.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Pirates | 21c | 174.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Pirates | 37c | 163$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 14c | 154.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Mariners | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mariners | 64c | 128.23$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440b…d50cbacked Pirates | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f6eabacked Pirates | 11c | 104.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 37c | 87.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 19c | 87.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Mariners | 63c | 84.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…bea8backed Mariners | 62c | 79.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…87dcbacked Mariners | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…4979backed Mariners | 63c | 73.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Pirates | 37c | 72.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mariners | 63c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Pirates | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…148dbacked Pirates | 23c | 62.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…fcd9backed Mariners | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e20…5e20backed Pirates | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0555…55bfbacked Pirates | 38c | 60.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…22ddbacked Pirates | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…38eabacked Pirates | 21c | 51.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…9743backed Pirates | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…afbfbacked Mariners | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…4fd5backed Pirates | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pirates | 38c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Pirates | 30c | 44.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Pirates | 68c | 40.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mariners | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Mariners | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mariners | 64c | 39.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Mariners | 62c | 34.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Pirates | 38c | 33.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…0149backed Mariners | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Mariners | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Mariners | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…bf3abacked Mariners | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…b119backed Mariners | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Mariners | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.