World Politics · resolved market
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eaa7dbf6db63fb0771a93ac95920a0a5facd65734e8a5c269c276d2dc14cbda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $855,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $880,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $855,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc458…ef36backed Yes | 66c | 53,507$35,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,192.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b93…7edbbacked No | 34c | 53,507$18,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,192.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 6c | 39,389$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.72 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 5c | 31,065$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.86 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x826f…6e3dbacked No | 35c | 30,422$10,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,647.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8b…e496backed Yes | 65c | 30,422$19,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,647.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b804backed No | 42c | 27,237$11,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,439.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…9bc5backed Yes | 58c | 27,237$15,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,439.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked No | 4c | 27,131$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 11c | 25,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed No | 4c | 24,733$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 6c | 15,119$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.34 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 6c | 11,921$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.73 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…058fbacked No | 8c | 11,071$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 1c | 11,050$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 10,599$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.64 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 5c | 10,060$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.57 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 6c | 10,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed No | 6c | 8,799$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…9c69backed No | 6c | 8,567$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 7c | 7,746$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.78 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 7c | 7,260$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.9 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…0040backed No | 0c | 7,233$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed No | 10c | 7,068$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.09 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 7c | 6,354$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.46 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 8c | 6,140$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.36 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 8c | 5,114$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.85 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 7c | 4,565$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 11c | 3,831$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.34 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked No | 4c | 3,729$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.59 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 8c | 3,227$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.15 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…fe11backed No | 6c | 3,071$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…1b02backed No | 7c | 2,744$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…23d1backed No | 10c | 2,710$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 10c | 2,624$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.37 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 5c | 2,396$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.33 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 6c | 2,373$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.8 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 9c | 2,262$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.18 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed No | 7c | 2,087$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 5c | 1,944$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 8c | 1,798$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 1c | 1,705$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…8b0dbacked No | 8c | 1,604$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 10c | 1,528$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked No | 7c | 1,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 6c | 1,203$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e11…b846backed No | 16c | 1,187$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 4c | 1,118$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…614dbacked No | 4c | 1,113$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked No | 10c | 1,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…4f21backed No | 12c | 1,000$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 988.79$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed No | 9c | 916$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 6c | 908.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 125 | 6.4%8 W · 117 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed No | 9c | 906.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 7c | 835.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 5c | 820$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 4c | 800$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 7c | 799.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 8c | 641.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…ca27backed No | 10c | 626.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 16c | 624.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 6c | 620$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…6fc4backed No | 4c | 507.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 11c | 505.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 129 | 20.9%27 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed No | 5c | 499.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 6c | 482.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 20c | 450$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 6c | 416.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…7cf1backed No | 10c | 409.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…ec73backed No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…bccebacked No | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 14c | 348.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…080ebacked No | 6c | 338.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…9468backed No | 7c | 320.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…aea4backed No | 6c | 319.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 3c | 317$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…5542backed No | 7c | 311.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…bc6dbacked No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 68c | 279.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed No | 5c | 264$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9312…2f98backed No | 6c | 210$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11b2…7c70backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 56c | 199.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…2573backed Yes | 73c | 198.41$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…a2bdbacked No | 6c | 170$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 12c | 165.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 40c | 144.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 15c | 127.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0e…c771backed Yes | 72c | 122.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 102.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +340%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?this page
- Will Josh Gottheimer win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?No won
- Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?No won
- Will Sean Spiller win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?No won
- Will Stephen Sweeney win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?No won
- Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.