TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Memorial Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,212 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes32c3,105$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No50c2,243$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.193447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes73c2,090$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.082263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes33c1,499$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.61137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-76.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Yes79c1,300$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Yes30c1,103$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.544540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3798…c24bbacked No27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed No67c931$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.771216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+336.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No71c899.96$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.971952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No60c676.46$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.881650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed No58c650$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37917226.7%46 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No40c552.86$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.562025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No74c410.58$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed No70c366.54$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.86650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…451fbacked Yes28c361.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.9616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6605…a568backed Yes28c346.43$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.43922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick12cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed No70c338$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick66cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Yes49c330$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.341931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No68c327.84$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.492040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed No73c258.78$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.53823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed No71c203$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.97862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c9…c040backed Yes28c202.86$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.49616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No59c200$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.27031.4%22 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd02…60e0backed No76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+72.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes70c194.62$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.292343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes34c165.05$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.26205%1 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-85.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa896…e5c1backed No78c154$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.12366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.51833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No61c132$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2330%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No71c126$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.463429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+87.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcced…9ffebacked No55c122$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-57.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes25c112$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842835.7%10 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+85.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8de…c07fbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked No75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304914.3%7 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes67c76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9310850%54 W · 54 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb38c…e0e1backed Yes35c69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+41.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No37c63.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.94065%26 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe435…2638backed Yes35c57.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.71425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-27.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No68c55.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.928756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Yes61c55.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…501bbacked No28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-57.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes32c53.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.232953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No25c42.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.723360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8b…46b0backed Yes69c33.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.154955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No50c23.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.556958%40 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No50c22.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.272454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4628…0fd5backed Yes73c20.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc8d…c207backed Yes73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.