TailMyPicks
Market

Golf · resolved market

Will Ben Griffin win the 2025 Memorial Tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,969
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,969 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x24df…e8b2backed Yes6c6,641$368 inLost-$368.161216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+336.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No78c1,293$1,008 inWon+$285.031833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes4c672.38$25 inLost-$25.26156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes18c641$119 inLost-$118.544914.3%7 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ec…875cbacked Yes17c638.1$110 inLost-$110.4229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Yes18c561.17$100 inLost-$100316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes31c556$173 inLost-$173.14205%1 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-85.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Yes19c549.62$105 inLost-$105.443447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes16c536$87 inLost-$87.292343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes20c509.6$100 inLost-$99.84137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-76.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes21c375$80 inLost-$79.9817226.7%46 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Yes35c352$124 inLost-$123.934540%18 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed58…331dbacked Yes30c333.37$100 inLost-$100147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick23cpaid-59.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x612a…2616backed Yes16c310$48 inLost-$48.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No64c140$90 inWon+$50.134955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2811…6915backed Yes16c139$22 inLost-$22.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes27c138.65$38 inLost-$37.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No77c115.58$89 inWon+$26.651650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes19c96$18 inLost-$18.01130%0 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcffb…da06backed Yes16c78$13 inLost-$12.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes15c68.33$10 inLost-$10.31020%2 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes17c61.14$10 inLost-$10.317031.4%22 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe435…2638backed Yes42c47.51$20 inLost-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-27.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.