TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Blue Jays vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x50a8…143fbacked White Sox0c22,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox36c14,491$5,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,192.641,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8e…3c44backed Blue Jays63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5486…f674backed White Sox37c9,996$3,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,698.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox2c8,596$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.911,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed White Sox1c6,378$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7813262.9%83 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox19c5,060$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.252,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Blue Jays64c4,688$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,687.513553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked White Sox35c3,991$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.7749250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays64c3,249$2,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.5332852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Blue Jays65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.922437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-42.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays58c3,066$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.166645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked White Sox37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.9998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked White Sox1c2,823$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.494754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Blue Jays63c2,673$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.8817351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked White Sox36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90031346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed White Sox9c2,488$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.049,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed White Sox35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70034245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked White Sox3c1,972$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3213353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Blue Jays64c1,888$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.6827953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Blue Jays64c1,800$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64838249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x179c…2d61backed Blue Jays63c1,684$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.1580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+99.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7be6…0530backed White Sox37c1,682$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.34520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed White Sox5c1,655$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.082488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbba5…cb7dbacked Blue Jays64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.52857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked White Sox1c1,440$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.295053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays64c1,391$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.631,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed White Sox14c1,389$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked White Sox2c1,335$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.268762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed White Sox1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed White Sox35c999.98$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed White Sox36c999.95$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9893240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked White Sox8c972.43$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4316135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox37c854$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.981,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Blue Jays65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28091749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0447…60abbacked Blue Jays64c695.31$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.31580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed White Sox36c669.97$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.691,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Blue Jays65c620.04$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.466450%32 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Blue Jays63c499.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18514050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked White Sox35c496.2$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.677554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox35c492.65$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.162,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed White Sox37c470$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.97238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Blue Jays64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7516157.1%92 W · 69 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked White Sox36c459.93$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.585,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeec7…08c6backed Blue Jays66c457.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.643053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed White Sox4c450$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox36c416$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7644443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays64c312.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.612,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.52,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ef…dfd1backed Blue Jays65c309.25$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.255759.6%34 W · 23 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays65c308.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7822546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox35c304.9$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.711,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed White Sox37c304.55$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6810550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Blue Jays64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10851151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Blue Jays64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox36c299.98$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Blue Jays64c297.69$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1738047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe54…b4f8backed White Sox7c281.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed White Sox36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked White Sox37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59ee…7ad7backed White Sox7c268.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.654610.9%5 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Blue Jays65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7770946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays63c229.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.11,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b61…c9eebacked Blue Jays65c208.28$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a85…2033backed White Sox37c199.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.18837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89ca…5b45backed Blue Jays64c198.84$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.587065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Blue Jays62c188.71$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7125954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked White Sox37c187.95$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5443247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays64c184$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.242,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed White Sox44c182.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.181,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…824ebacked Blue Jays65c179.37$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.344854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays63c168.25$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Blue Jays60c166.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0722958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd10…f4bcbacked Blue Jays64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5413backed Blue Jays64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Blue Jays64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2531356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Blue Jays64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.256154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Blue Jays65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Blue Jays66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5239160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a05…5e89backed White Sox36c146.88$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.473046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea1…6d96backed White Sox37c145.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3803…0a69backed White Sox37c141.97$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked White Sox36c141$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x080d…9874backed White Sox37c131.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays64c125.02$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.011,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Blue Jays64c120.95$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.545945.8%27 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdafa…b066backed White Sox36c117.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.23825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e6…e2bdbacked Blue Jays64c113.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.863369.7%23 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8c9c…492bbacked White Sox37c103.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.42454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Blue Jays64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3692754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Blue Jays56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4441751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3c9…7853backed Blue Jays65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.52564%16 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Blue Jays63c99.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3717149.7%85 W · 86 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays64c99.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d49…fb65backed Blue Jays64c91.63$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.992860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked White Sox33c91.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.632754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.