MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eff1fc722dccf802b21b8138396d9d958ca2b99b2948c89d7fbea921637e385
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $943,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $966,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $943,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Reds | 42c | 691,104$293,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397,795.89 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Phillies | 56c | 178,430$99,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,862.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 58c | 152,728$88,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,227.79 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Phillies | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,000 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 58c | 49,216$28,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,353.12 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 57c | 44,793$25,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,529.5 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 57c | 40,030$22,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,817.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Phillies | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Phillies | 58c | 18,150$10,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,527 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Phillies | 58c | 18,026$10,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,454.9 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 50c | 17,663$8,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,862.23 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Phillies | 73c | 16,118$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 51c | 12,995$6,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,668.06 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Phillies | 8c | 12,503$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…fb11backed Reds | 43c | 11,684$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,683.72 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Phillies | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…9313backed Phillies | 59c | 9,999$5,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…a7fcbacked Reds | 41c | 9,995$4,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,897.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 34c | 9,089$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 43c | 7,740$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440.86 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Phillies | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Phillies | 57c | 7,255$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,110.26 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 58c | 6,959$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.22 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 58c | 6,720$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.57 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Phillies | 6c | 5,135$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.09 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies | 58c | 4,862$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.95 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Reds | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.9 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Reds | 68c | 4,703$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.18 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Phillies | 58c | 4,589$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.62 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Phillies | 36c | 4,344$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Phillies | 55c | 4,012$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.02 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 58c | 3,525$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Reds | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 57c | 2,744$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.73 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 57c | 2,350$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.5 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Phillies | 38c | 2,200$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Phillies | 31c | 2,094$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.41 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Phillies | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Phillies | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…b27cbacked Reds | 41c | 1,900$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Reds | 42c | 1,793$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.86 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…b134backed Reds | 42c | 1,750$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Reds | 43c | 1,688$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.37 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Phillies | 30c | 1,656$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Reds | 43c | 1,468$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.51 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 34c | 1,391$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.26 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,345$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.78 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Phillies | 80c | 1,231$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Reds | 43c | 1,176$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.39 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 43c | 1,166$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.28 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe994…86ccbacked Reds | 42c | 1,090$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…058cbacked Phillies | 58c | 1,090$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Phillies | 30c | 1,015$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.88 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Reds | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Phillies | 14c | 1,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 57c | 988.09$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.78 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…7ee7backed Phillies | 59c | 968$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…2238backed Phillies | 59c | 932$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Reds | 43c | 922.33$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.73 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 57c | 921$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.97 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Reds | 38c | 911.18$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.93 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Reds | 79c | 898.73$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.73 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0d…a5dabacked Phillies | 58c | 876$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671c…46fbbacked Phillies | 58c | 874$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Reds | 41c | 731.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.51 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Reds | 42c | 721.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.53 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Phillies | 40c | 687.5$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 59c | 657.21$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.65 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Reds | 40c | 605.56$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.56 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Phillies | 53c | 600$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…0727backed Reds | 47c | 565.15$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.53 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Reds | 64c | 533.32$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Reds | 72c | 510.29$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Reds | 36c | 503.09$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Phillies | 6c | 477.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Reds | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…50babacked Phillies | 15c | 476.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…e62cbacked Phillies | 60c | 452.72$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 24c | 446.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Phillies | 4c | 442.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dea…8128backed Reds | 42c | 442.9$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.88 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Reds | 41c | 418.09$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Phillies | 58c | 418$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.44 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 80c | 415$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Reds | 41c | 404.73$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.79 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Phillies | 10c | 400$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Reds | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Phillies | 58c | 399.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.99 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…029ebacked Phillies | 59c | 398.31$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Reds | 71c | 389.61$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Reds | 80c | 356.14$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 37c | 346.47$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Reds | 42c | 346.19$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Reds | 41c | 341.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.46 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Phillies | 59c | 336$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 59c | 267$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Phillies | 57c | 262.09$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.66 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.