MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf06858f0eb3aa005523bf15ad0e7d1135bbde584e981ab290a0f061c5e3310d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Yankees, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $350,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $351,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Mets | 52c | 84,655$44,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,634.61 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 42c | 61,110$25,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,666.5 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Yankees | 53c | 36,407$19,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,155.32 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mets | 52c | 24,809$12,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,908.34 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yankees | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 30c | 14,867$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489.9 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Yankees | 47c | 12,411$5,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,833.15 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 32c | 11,636$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.32 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Mets | 52c | 10,700$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,136 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yankees | 37c | 10,054$3,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.37 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Mets | 53c | 9,999$5,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Mets | 33c | 9,030$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,029.67 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Yankees | 48c | 8,386$4,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,025.42 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yankees | 43c | 8,072$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.08 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Yankees | 49c | 7,498$3,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,638.95 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Mets | 52c | 7,099$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.31 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Yankees | 71c | 6,500$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.95 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 41c | 5,858$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.37 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 47c | 5,568$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Mets | 37c | 5,401$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402.6 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Yankees | 50c | 5,019$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Yankees | 48c | 4,174$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 51c | 3,910$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.72 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Mets | 53c | 3,865$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.83 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees | 47c | 3,333$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yankees | 2c | 3,261$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mets | 52c | 3,165$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.2 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Mets | 51c | 2,936$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.7 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Mets | 35c | 2,728$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.04 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Mets | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Yankees | 40c | 2,009$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.39 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mets | 53c | 2,006$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.59 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yankees | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yankees | 48c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 47c | 1,910$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.62 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Mets | 48c | 1,880$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.95 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 45c | 1,710$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.14 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Yankees | 75c | 1,370$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.84 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mets | 51c | 1,369$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.69 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 48c | 1,364$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.85 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…f32ebacked Mets | 49c | 1,320$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…4f12backed Yankees | 51c | 1,320$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yankees | 47c | 1,265$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Mets | 51c | 1,180$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.63 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Yankees | 46c | 1,090$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Yankees | 46c | 1,068$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.09 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Mets | 77c | 1,015$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Yankees | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yankees | 15c | 999$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Mets | 53c | 949.06$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.06 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Yankees | 61c | 879$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.4 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Mets | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Yankees | 46c | 858.21$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Yankees | 66c | 838.46$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Yankees | 42c | 804.86$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.17 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yankees | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Mets | 37c | 787.57$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.57 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 19c | 755.4$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mets | 53c | 683.65$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.32 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Mets | 69c | 658.66$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yankees | 53c | 626.39$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.13 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Yankees | 55c | 582.19$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.48 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…87c1backed Yankees | 70c | 579.67$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yankees | 71c | 563.5$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.76 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets | 54c | 552.3$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.93 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…7df4backed Yankees | 47c | 550.98$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mets | 50c | 544$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…0727backed Yankees | 50c | 528$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Mets | 39c | 480$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Mets | 49c | 469.48$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.29 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Yankees | 5c | 468$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…d9c9backed Yankees | 26c | 458.37$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Yankees | 25c | 428.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Mets | 55c | 423.64$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.64 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Mets | 51c | 402.09$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.02 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Mets | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Mets | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yankees | 15c | 399.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yankees | 5c | 371$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yankees | 55c | 364.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mets | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yankees | 53c | 361.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.85 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Yankees | 40c | 356.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…f24cbacked Yankees | 66c | 348.56$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Mets | 27c | 342.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.38 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Yankees | 27c | 338.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Yankees | 28c | 329.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 26c | 317.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.88 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yankees | 42c | 305.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.07 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Yankees | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Mets | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Mets | 45c | 287.02$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.86 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…a92dbacked Mets | 26c | 285.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.78 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mets | 53c | 278.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99dc…b38cbacked Yankees | 74c | 276.04$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1347…bc3dbacked Yankees | 50c | 269.93$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Yankees | 26c | 266.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yankees | 47c | 264.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.41 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Yankees | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.