MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb73d0ad7bdc2c1421fc64deed3874b603f4cb8a55b3c8df2f55e3c2878befc2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Cubs, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $418,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Cubs | 55c | 281,944$156,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,271.58 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Twins | 45c | 89,971$40,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,483.82 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Twins | 44c | 54,000$23,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,240 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 45c | 36,602$16,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,131.22 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 44c | 33,333$14,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,666.48 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Twins | 45c | 26,566$11,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,611.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Cubs | 57c | 21,160$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Twins | 45c | 21,039$9,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,571.2 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Twins | 44c | 16,716$7,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,360.96 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cubs | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,050 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 44c | 10,543$4,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,860.97 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Twins | 44c | 10,534$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.15 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 26c | 9,811$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.34 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 61c | 8,763$5,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 44c | 7,200$3,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,996.39 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cubs | 53c | 6,082$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 44c | 4,651$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.95 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Cubs | 55c | 4,511$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Twins | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Cubs | 20c | 4,365$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.26 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cubs | 53c | 4,240$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.14 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Twins | 49c | 4,026$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.28 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cubs | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Twins | 45c | 2,750$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.5 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 44c | 2,569$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.26 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Twins | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Twins | 44c | 1,940$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.4 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Cubs | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Twins | 44c | 1,751$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.73 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cubs | 54c | 1,617$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.06 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b3…8321backed Cubs | 45c | 1,599$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Twins | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Twins | 45c | 1,271$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.32 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Cubs | 16c | 1,257$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.67 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cubs | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.98 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Cubs | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Cubs | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Twins | 46c | 900$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 57c | 873.99$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.61 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 14c | 823.32$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 26c | 760.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Twins | 44c | 748.79$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.32 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Cubs | 56c | 740$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.4 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 78c | 733.51$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.12 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cubs | 13c | 690$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Cubs | 29c | 685.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Twins | 45c | 676.97$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.33 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cubs | 2c | 617.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Cubs | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 58c | 515.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Twins | 43c | 454.53$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.08 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins | 46c | 451.07$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.58 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 23c | 443.83$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 27c | 426.14$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.94 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Cubs | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Twins | 44c | 399.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cubs | 27c | 326$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Cubs | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Twins | 42c | 299.97$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Cubs | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…be76backed Cubs | 57c | 262.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 58c | 260.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 58c | 260.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Twins | 76c | 251.32$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Cubs | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cubs | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Twins | 43c | 243.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.73 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Twins | 75c | 243.3$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Twins | 43c | 238.63$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cubs | 25c | 220.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 13c | 220$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cubs | 25c | 216.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Cubs | 51c | 210.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e30…66f2backed Cubs | 55c | 194.82$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Cubs | 55c | 183.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Cubs | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cubs | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Twins | 45c | 178.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Cubs | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 55c | 171$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d8…a6fdbacked Twins | 47c | 154.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x603f…eae9backed Cubs | 55c | 142.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 44c | 140.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Cubs | 55c | 140.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Cubs | 12c | 140.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…492bbacked Twins | 45c | 139.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…f0b2backed Twins | 77c | 134.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cubs | 25c | 130.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Twins | 44c | 127.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3558…1e67backed Cubs | 55c | 126.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…b930backed Twins | 45c | 120.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…abb4backed Twins | 46c | 119.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Cubs | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 55c | 104.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…743cbacked Twins | 46c | 102.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…5205backed Twins | 46c | 101.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.