MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc97c98ef6d79a84be2a8b5747a63a79ee99826204d41e19e39ed8e05d90c755d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dodgers | 8c | 33,073$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.05 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 57c | 18,316$10,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,529.5 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Astros | 37c | 10,406$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,507.86 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Dodgers | 54c | 10,197$5,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,526.92 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 42c | 7,131$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Dodgers | 63c | 5,772$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.8 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 38c | 4,499$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.34 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers | 36c | 3,549$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.86 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Dodgers | 65c | 3,081$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Astros | 51c | 2,950$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.94 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 35c | 2,578$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.02 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Dodgers | 59c | 2,558$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.59 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Astros | 28c | 2,396$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.04 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…d9a2backed Astros | 62c | 2,222$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers | 62c | 2,112$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.28 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Astros | 36c | 2,051$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.94 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros | 69c | 2,027$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.72 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Dodgers | 1c | 1,657$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Astros | 34c | 1,165$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.11 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…c1c1backed Astros | 39c | 1,080$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…bb3fbacked Dodgers | 61c | 1,080$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Dodgers | 64c | 1,028$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.92 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Dodgers | 7c | 1,012$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Astros | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 64c | 937.48$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.48 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Astros | 36c | 911.37$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.28 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…cf94backed Dodgers | 14c | 871.43$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 36c | 844.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.06 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 49c | 832$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.31 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Astros | 36c | 825.83$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.1 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Astros | 35c | 775.23$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.9 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Dodgers | 63c | 766.66$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Dodgers | 3c | 739.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Dodgers | 64c | 739$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Astros | 36c | 738.98$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Astros | 38c | 697.53$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.7 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Dodgers | 65c | 614.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Dodgers | 65c | 580.77$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…340bbacked Astros | 65c | 572.82$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.78 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Astros | 59c | 552.69$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.07 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Astros | 39c | 510.85$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.62 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Dodgers | 63c | 510.05$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Astros | 39c | 507.69$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Dodgers | 62c | 481.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 37c | 478.47$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.44 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Dodgers | 22c | 468.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…0727backed Astros | 38c | 457.89$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…a6e9backed Astros | 48c | 450$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dodgers | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Astros | 36c | 397$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.08 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 64c | 377.52$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.42 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Dodgers | 65c | 342.77$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.17 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dodgers | 37c | 334.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…ff8cbacked Astros | 55c | 323.2$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Astros | 57c | 322.73$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.73 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers | 61c | 308.24$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.25 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Astros | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 34c | 297.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.12 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Astros | 35c | 286.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Astros | 36c | 278$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Astros | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Astros | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80f…6d12backed Astros | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Astros | 38c | 265.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Astros | 45c | 244.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.91 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Astros | 61c | 243.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Astros | 38c | 233.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.01 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Astros | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a4…7badbacked Dodgers | 6c | 219.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Astros | 74c | 214.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Astros | 41c | 202.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Dodgers | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Astros | 62c | 190$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 72c | 187.91$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Astros | 51c | 177.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Astros | 36c | 167$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Dodgers | 10c | 163.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Dodgers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Dodgers | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Astros | 35c | 143.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Dodgers | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Dodgers | 60c | 138.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.91 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Astros | 36c | 138$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Astros | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Astros | 36c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Dodgers | 62c | 114.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Dodgers | 68c | 114.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Astros | 44c | 113.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Dodgers | 43c | 104.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Astros | 50c | 102.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Astros | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Astros | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.