Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0ba157295a80808ba9fbe6db897686b33363766a2a8beea76263b8ce1b13ad5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $686,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $713,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $686,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f1d…63d9backed No | 44c | 70,741$31,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,032.67 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 65c | 29,066$19,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,039.94 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 46c | 28,823$13,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,620.27 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…0cbbbacked No | 35c | 21,988$7,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,762.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…b3c0backed Yes | 50c | 20,928$10,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,545.75 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 15c | 20,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed No | 20c | 19,460$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 39c | 18,000$6,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,969.99 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…653ebacked Yes | 79c | 17,152$13,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 12c | 14,402$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.1 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Yes | 64c | 12,999$8,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 63c | 11,433$7,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,186.93 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked No | 27c | 11,007$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.57 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 30c | 10,036$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.1 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…5343backed Yes | 67c | 9,140$6,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 61c | 8,068$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 15c | 7,652$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.65 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…d91ebacked Yes | 65c | 6,500$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…dd1abacked Yes | 69c | 6,054$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.67 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 66c | 5,964$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.74 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed No | 25c | 5,405$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.84 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed No | 48c | 5,383$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.03 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yes | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.99 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 61c | 4,692$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.08 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 68c | 3,899$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.31 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 73c | 3,787$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.75 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed No | 36c | 3,627$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…9fe7backed Yes | 71c | 3,618$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.46 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…c82dbacked No | 20c | 3,149$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd389…8378backed No | 32c | 3,115$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.04 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed No | 43c | 3,048$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 34c | 2,948$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.68 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e05…a2edbacked Yes | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…e95cbacked Yes | 65c | 2,932$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 2,834$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.32 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…942cbacked No | 19c | 2,644$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…c5f6backed Yes | 65c | 2,599$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 29c | 2,568$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.36 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 66c | 2,500$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.21 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed Yes | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3464backed Yes | 73c | 2,398$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 64c | 2,397$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.77 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed No | 24c | 2,281$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.35 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed No | 33c | 2,262$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 64c | 2,147$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.08 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 73c | 2,049$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.67 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 49c | 2,022$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.04 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9879…eae8backed Yes | 65c | 2,019$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.73 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…a94dbacked No | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked No | 34c | 1,960$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.46 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9197…08d4backed No | 34c | 1,832$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed No | 22c | 1,702$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.75 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…7bf0backed No | 37c | 1,623$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.46 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b5…4bd7backed Yes | 63c | 1,570$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.79 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…662cbacked Yes | 73c | 1,559$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.94 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…1da2backed Yes | 64c | 1,553$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…4afdbacked Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…448cbacked Yes | 68c | 1,529$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd135…9c62backed Yes | 65c | 1,509$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.35 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 38c | 1,500$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.01 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a90…93bfbacked No | 35c | 1,500$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcddf…2396backed Yes | 68c | 1,476$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a1…8483backed Yes | 73c | 1,371$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…0c0abacked Yes | 74c | 1,353$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Yes | 68c | 1,324$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…8e01backed No | 34c | 1,322$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 67c | 1,270$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…8075backed Yes | 73c | 1,260$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.81 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Yes | 67c | 1,243$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.83 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…428abacked Yes | 58c | 1,186$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.31 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…bf90backed Yes | 64c | 1,182$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.33 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fed…6ffbbacked No | 28c | 1,120$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2e…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 1,100$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.42 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…451fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,071$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked No | 34c | 1,054$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.76 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 33c | 1,015$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.03 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…807cbacked No | 36c | 1,009$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.09 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 63c | 1,009$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.92 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb99d…1cfabacked Yes | 56c | 992.39$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.14 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2125…fd1abacked Yes | 65c | 978.57$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.44 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 36c | 967.92$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.79 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed No | 39c | 917.44$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.84 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed No | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d7…cf4bbacked Yes | 63c | 835.02$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.3 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd6…4735backed Yes | 60c | 817.41$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.29 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4b…5e45backed No | 34c | 802.37$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 36c | 795.02$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.18 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…9695backed Yes | 70c | 788.78$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fa…747fbacked Yes | 71c | 784.06$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 66c | 775.37$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.45 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 35c | 758.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.22 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…3d02backed Yes | 62c | 757.58$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d472backed Yes | 66c | 750$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…bb60backed Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…cfaabacked Yes | 66c | 699.76$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f0…7dcebacked Yes | 68c | 655.88$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.