Earnings · resolved market
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1d6ecbcb948c292f2cf8a30055d7207dab2e31864b341fd444dffb8dc8766f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x087c…4a76backed No | 18c | 16,000$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…5155backed No | 20c | 12,325$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…2308backed Yes | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 12c | 9,585$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.44 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 20c | 7,625$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.96 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed No | 14c | 5,015$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -61%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed No | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed Yes | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6359…de88backed No | 20c | 2,499$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…d218backed No | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d68…402cbacked No | 20c | 2,030$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…df43backed Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed No | 21c | 1,338$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked No | 19c | 1,300$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 20c | 1,270$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed No | 17c | 1,222$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31f…094cbacked No | 14c | 1,126$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…36fdbacked No | 13c | 1,097$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 20c | 1,007$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.39 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 78c | 956.75$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.54 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb071…e8f1backed No | 16c | 935.19$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 8c | 861.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…1bafbacked No | 17c | 587.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 19c | 555$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed No | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 19c | 506.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 19c | 505$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2da2backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 17c | 434.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…842fbacked No | 17c | 402.13$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…a9f2backed Yes | 80c | 400$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed No | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…49aabacked No | 20c | 231$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked No | 7c | 230.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…e1e2backed No | 20c | 225$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 79c | 212$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 70c | 206.38$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 19c | 199.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d10abacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed No | 20c | 147.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…dc76backed No | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked No | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e50…948abacked No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272f…164fbacked No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…2873backed Yes | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3562…a38cbacked No | 20c | 107.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed No | 21c | 103.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…2f0bbacked Yes | 80c | 102.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b1…cdcfbacked No | 20c | 100.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…eb5dbacked No | 20c | 100.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 100.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…7cc5backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…6bf2backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…3f6abacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…8860backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…01fdbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7b…a54bbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…363fbacked No | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…5909backed No | 19c | 99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 18c | 80.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e2…73bebacked Yes | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfb…71b7backed No | 27c | 79.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c18…9ceabacked No | 20c | 79.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -91%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…c993backed No | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 21c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9c…25e5backed No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…6ff5backed No | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b9…9b0ebacked No | 21c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6032backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…bf0cbacked Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked No | 33c | 32.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…9b9ebacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcc…7a27backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eba…4b55backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.