Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Fartcoin all time high before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe527c02956469fa5dc5396fcbaf0b9fc9fb35e54c439ca9614baa0d86a1cd3dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 12,231$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 1c | 4,343$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…e24cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,916$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cc…81bbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,422$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…dc19backed Yes | 13c | 2,222$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8824…30babacked Yes | 10c | 2,154$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.41 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…7e1cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,968$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…ca9abacked Yes | 11c | 1,863$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.29 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked Yes | 12c | 869.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…fe13backed Yes | 7c | 762.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 6c | 593.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…072ebacked Yes | 4c | 456.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…d22dbacked Yes | 27c | 441.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 394.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes | 26c | 391.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…d1bdbacked Yes | 6c | 334.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 318.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed No | 77c | 250$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…5d86backed Yes | 18c | 159.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…57f6backed Yes | 11c | 138.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…4676backed Yes | 8c | 126.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…441ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f2…6ff5backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 78c | 69.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf29f…5ccabacked No | 50c | 43.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24f3…7477backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 51c | 21.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.