Ukraine · resolved market
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f1b7eb4573875d73fa68974c4477550427745bc8aa0270ee71022a7723121e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,975,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,574,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,975,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 556 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 3c | 163,368$4,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,282.11 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…4f80backed Yes | 9c | 84,693$7,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,537.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 10c | 76,450$7,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,865.62 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 1c | 72,000$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.85 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 3c | 70,835$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.93 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 3c | 54,537$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.57 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…97bfbacked Yes | 12c | 54,121$6,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,590.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9f…2661backed Yes | 15c | 52,612$8,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,022.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 3c | 48,670$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.2 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 17c | 45,875$7,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,959.93 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11b…cf6bbacked Yes | 12c | 41,303$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d1fdbacked Yes | 26c | 40,530$10,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,546.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…dbf2backed Yes | 6c | 36,978$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b6…6457backed Yes | 15c | 35,899$5,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,523.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf289…2415backed Yes | 14c | 35,137$4,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,909.95 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…9514backed Yes | 1c | 35,055$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a8…6b32backed Yes | 11c | 34,068$3,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 12c | 28,316$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.54 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 6c | 24,627$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.79 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc96…16e4backed Yes | 13c | 22,490$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 10c | 21,933$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.69 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 20,441$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.26 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…635cbacked Yes | 25c | 19,433$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 10c | 19,044$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.89 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…61d6backed Yes | 6c | 18,956$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Yes | 2c | 14,000$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 12c | 13,865$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 9c | 13,849$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.26 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffa…b3c4backed Yes | 2c | 13,579$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 79c | 13,250$10,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.55 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 10c | 12,793$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.2 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 6c | 12,325$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.32 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85b…c652backed Yes | 9c | 12,100$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 2c | 11,372$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.96 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…4b40backed Yes | 4c | 11,279$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…97abbacked Yes | 1c | 10,734$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 7c | 10,726$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.11 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 7c | 10,468$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.38 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b63…d2cfbacked Yes | 8c | 10,211$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 10,196$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.99 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a1aebacked Yes | 3c | 10,163$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…b2eabacked Yes | 3c | 9,805$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 17c | 9,076$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.36 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Yes | 26c | 9,070$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…fd25backed Yes | 12c | 8,637$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.06 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869b…776cbacked Yes | 15c | 8,255$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 9c | 8,226$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.69 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 21c | 8,158$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 6c | 7,820$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.84 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked Yes | 19c | 7,772$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked Yes | 25c | 7,728$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…62efbacked Yes | 20c | 7,691$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…e4eebacked Yes | 27c | 7,552$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 24c | 7,472$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.28 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…81c9backed Yes | 7c | 7,354$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 73c | 6,956$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 9c | 6,942$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.43 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 7c | 6,918$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.67 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…9665backed Yes | 6c | 6,661$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 4c | 6,547$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…a691backed No | 77c | 6,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e4…06ccbacked Yes | 3c | 6,262$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…93dcbacked Yes | 20c | 6,139$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 6,133$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.52 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe677…2a7abacked Yes | 17c | 6,010$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Yes | 14c | 5,889$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 5,804$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 139 | 10.8%15 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…2a75backed Yes | 2c | 5,767$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 14c | 5,535$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.1 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 17c | 5,458$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.32 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 79c | 5,343$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abc…8163backed Yes | 20c | 5,106$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 2c | 5,100$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked Yes | 20c | 5,033$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.72 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Yes | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Yes | 6c | 4,504$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…bfcebacked Yes | 16c | 4,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…577bbacked Yes | 24c | 4,380$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…be52backed Yes | 3c | 4,268$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9ae8backed Yes | 11c | 4,248$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 20c | 4,047$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.9 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 74c | 3,967$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.04 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed Yes | 3c | 3,780$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.89 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…70c0backed Yes | 24c | 3,773$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 19c | 3,769$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.37 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…9b16backed Yes | 9c | 3,747$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.06 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 2c | 3,709$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked Yes | 11c | 3,698$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,629$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.27 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 16c | 3,625$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.01 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…cba0backed Yes | 18c | 3,245$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…dc42backed Yes | 27c | 3,219$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 14c | 3,204$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.65 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 3,165$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed Yes | 16c | 3,152$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…35b5backed Yes | 26c | 3,137$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 75c | 3,091$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.9 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 6c | 3,059$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.36 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…8445backed Yes | 7c | 3,018$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 19c | 2,984$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.