TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $190 in September?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$776,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$742,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $776,134 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x104a…5b05backed Yes22c70,763$15,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,693.598017.5%14 W · 66 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Yes72c28,855$20,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,826.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes49c27,479$13,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,541.7322216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c22,954$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.061,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf98b…bfc5backed No55c16,977$9,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,699.5924654.9%135 W · 111 L+16.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes14c16,003$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.6135123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb9b…1d68backed No35c14,228$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,228.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa279…0371backed Yes25c13,952$3,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,542.45444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes48c13,597$6,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,524.9518425%46 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc28a…2657backed No17c10,470$1,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,657.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+477.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3da…a0f9backed No36c9,279$3,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,908.2412824.2%31 W · 97 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes30c8,638$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,585.04659.2%6 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed No69c7,689$5,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.0563835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15a9…677ebacked Yes1c6,856$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed No60c5,932$3,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed Yes10c5,926$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.8629126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ab…a546backed Yes6c5,467$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.0270%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No35c4,916$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,175.9912736.2%46 W · 81 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-4.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes20c4,837$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.7415023.3%35 W · 115 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes7c4,444$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9725824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3887…8906backed No71c4,223$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed No55c4,105$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.441163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf4b…8d73backed No27c3,740$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.12218.2%4 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed Yes50c3,722$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.3619439.2%76 W · 118 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked No42c3,675$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,114.9711442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95d6…af5abacked Yes16c3,270$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2adf…d89cbacked No51c3,004$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.6313561.5%83 W · 52 L+16.5wins+0.12per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x18a9…292bbacked Yes1c2,663$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Yes30c2,143$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.1717229.7%51 W · 121 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56d7…3d6bbacked No69c2,104$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.33154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes13c1,999$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.921435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick20cpaid+57%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed No73c1,966$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.056468.8%44 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes26c1,945$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.9955032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes26c1,934$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.2532524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes5c1,797$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes64c1,437$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.657652.6%40 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked No43c1,419$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.0113038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x497b…aba5backed No73c1,344$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.915971.2%42 W · 17 L+11.1wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked No51c1,099$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.422138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd61…ac77backed No32c1,096$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+215.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes74c1,000$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.41785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+119.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a55…cfc4backed Yes64c1,000$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6445156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes64c1,000$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6445554.5%30 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21c0…cce8backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b6…af8bbacked No78c960.22$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.7514075.7%106 W · 34 L+17.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2763…7776backed No23c900$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.53633.3%12 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb49…a376backed Yes64c900$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5794845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821c…ffc7backed Yes64c900$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5793948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked Yes64c850$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.515754.8%86 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes10c843.87$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.29402.5%1 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick17cpaid-96.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes13c829$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7713863%87 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No22c819.08$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.149041.1%37 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked No63c799.76$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.871741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5651…66a6backed No65c708.79$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.136250%31 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No31c658.58$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.425545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b2c…4badbacked No77c600$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+156.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes17c580.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2152…0b84backed Yes73c547.95$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17aa…cb3dbacked Yes29c524.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf70c…72c1backed Yes31c434.34$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.83837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+223.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cda…cee7backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…c11dbacked No28c400$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.22450%12 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69f7…e1d8backed No60c373.04$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+71%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked No31c320.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.51425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…4ac7backed No64c310.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.463737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…4486backed Yes25c299$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23e9…109fbacked No62c259.47$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.47862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcab9…99d0backed No39c259.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.071546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b2f…d14abacked No75c250$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9041…4358backed No33c242.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+201%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50d8…f015backed No65c230$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.28825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbabd…3335backed No12c209.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5921236.8%78 W · 134 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2598…7b76backed No69c195.09$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+93.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb96f…0222backed Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68d5…23f7backed No63c165$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.721855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0556…b36abacked Yes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15362.8%1 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-86%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes27c149.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3230531.1%95 W · 210 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb770…61b0backed No44c114.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8079…b9cbbacked Yes74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741560%9 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9d8…ff32backed Yes75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752560%15 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55fc…14f5backed Yes29c81.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf924…85bebacked Yes39c77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31fb…6841backed Yes30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ce6…ea34backed Yes23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd07…db48backed No64c66$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7877…58edbacked No77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…e4cabacked No77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca90…49d6backed Yes71c52.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.35825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3593…0b7cbacked Yes31c51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c2…7f4cbacked No70c50.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.07683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+87.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed Yes20c50.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a7…49f7backed No69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.359546.3%44 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Yes31c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3510545.7%48 W · 57 L+22.9wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+94.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xd310…be53backed No47c48.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.86777.6%52 W · 15 L+12.1wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa805…8622backed No33c45.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+201.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ca…300ebacked No63c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3de…ba91backed No69c44.83$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd71…c879backed No80c40.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed Yes55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.