Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35e423b43b91524f6836d331b87b60a61509c2f411a5deaba1f47c1d83d15f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joao Fonsecaof Karen Khachanov, Joao Fonseca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $427,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,532 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Karen Khachanov | 41c | 52,173$21,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,185.18 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Joao Fonseca | 32c | 38,770$12,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,556.3 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Joao Fonseca | 60c | 25,838$15,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,249.27 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…be06backed Karen Khachanov | 48c | 20,904$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Karen Khachanov | 45c | 11,422$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,094.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Joao Fonseca | 50c | 10,983$5,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.65 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Karen Khachanov | 40c | 10,552$4,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,175.63 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Joao Fonseca | 55c | 10,393$5,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.7 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Joao Fonseca | 72c | 9,922$7,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.34 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Joao Fonseca | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.99 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Joao Fonseca | 56c | 6,945$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.62 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Karen Khachanov | 45c | 6,618$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Joao Fonseca | 51c | 6,506$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.5 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Karen Khachanov | 53c | 6,334$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Karen Khachanov | 70c | 6,035$4,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,237.02 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Karen Khachanov | 26c | 5,909$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Karen Khachanov | 45c | 5,373$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.26 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joao Fonseca | 70c | 4,942$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.88 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Joao Fonseca | 55c | 4,895$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.72 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34dc…3cdcbacked Karen Khachanov | 45c | 4,471$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Karen Khachanov | 46c | 4,366$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Joao Fonseca | 57c | 4,359$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.56 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Joao Fonseca | 58c | 4,290$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.12 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Joao Fonseca | 37c | 4,017$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.71 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Joao Fonseca | 32c | 3,981$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.23 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Joao Fonseca | 56c | 3,214$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.29 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Karen Khachanov | 43c | 3,040$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.3 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Karen Khachanov | 44c | 2,786$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.82 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Joao Fonseca | 35c | 2,397$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.09 | 119 | 19.3%23 W · 96 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Karen Khachanov | 33c | 2,323$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.72 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Karen Khachanov | 45c | 2,245$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Karen Khachanov | 37c | 1,871$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Karen Khachanov | 33c | 1,803$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.95 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Karen Khachanov | 41c | 1,750$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.47 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Karen Khachanov | 32c | 1,668$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.47 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Karen Khachanov | 25c | 1,639$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.69 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb2…8ad7backed Karen Khachanov | 43c | 1,558$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.93 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b84…a239backed Joao Fonseca | 57c | 1,549$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Karen Khachanov | 67c | 1,503$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Karen Khachanov | 44c | 1,479$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.84 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Karen Khachanov | 67c | 1,434$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.39 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Karen Khachanov | 39c | 1,350$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Joao Fonseca | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.29 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Karen Khachanov | 72c | 1,252$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Karen Khachanov | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Joao Fonseca | 56c | 1,229$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.57 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Joao Fonseca | 56c | 1,228$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.79 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…2760backed Karen Khachanov | 42c | 1,201$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Joao Fonseca | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Joao Fonseca | 56c | 1,195$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.35 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Karen Khachanov | 43c | 1,168$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.32 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Karen Khachanov | 45c | 1,119$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Joao Fonseca | 56c | 1,038$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.62 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Karen Khachanov | 42c | 960.51$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.41 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f8bcbacked Joao Fonseca | 31c | 934.74$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.15 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Joao Fonseca | 55c | 920$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…9052backed Karen Khachanov | 14c | 776.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +12.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Karen Khachanov | 45c | 758.02$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.31 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Karen Khachanov | 53c | 750.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed Karen Khachanov | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 75.6%59 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Joao Fonseca | 56c | 720$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…c866backed Karen Khachanov | 44c | 719$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Joao Fonseca | 54c | 703.47$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.03 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Joao Fonseca | 55c | 699.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Karen Khachanov | 27c | 671.03$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Joao Fonseca | 21c | 666.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.81 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Karen Khachanov | 15c | 651.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Joao Fonseca | 56c | 593.99$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.36 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Joao Fonseca | 35c | 572.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.29 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Karen Khachanov | 41c | 566.43$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Joao Fonseca | 54c | 554.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.91 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Karen Khachanov | 45c | 553.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Joao Fonseca | 26c | 523.08$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.08 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…4875backed Joao Fonseca | 35c | 510.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Joao Fonseca | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Joao Fonseca | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Joao Fonseca | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Karen Khachanov | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Joao Fonseca | 53c | 494.01$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.19 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Joao Fonseca | 56c | 489.95$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.58 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Karen Khachanov | 72c | 479.51$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.25 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…42f8backed Karen Khachanov | 10c | 470.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Karen Khachanov | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Karen Khachanov | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Karen Khachanov | 46c | 449.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.49 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Joao Fonseca | 56c | 428$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.32 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Joao Fonseca | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Karen Khachanov | 44c | 400$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…07dabacked Karen Khachanov | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Joao Fonseca | 57c | 399.49$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.78 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed Joao Fonseca | 56c | 392.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Joao Fonseca | 58c | 367.1$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.18 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Karen Khachanov | 45c | 359.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…ca79backed Joao Fonseca | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Karen Khachanov | 68c | 355.32$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6eb…4c0bbacked Joao Fonseca | 56c | 354.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Karen Khachanov | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3808…1cd1backed Karen Khachanov | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Karen Khachanov | 53c | 329.56$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.07 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Karen Khachanov | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecathis page
- Karen Khachanov vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Khachanov vs. Fonseca: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)Fonseca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.