Tennis · resolved market
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Atmane
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55a4adfdbfa1b020a6093060bb4b06f1ad784001067a79ad1ffd888299f278ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinner of Sinner , Atmane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Atmane | 8c | 12,800$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.17 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Atmane | 8c | 12,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.03 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Atmane | 10c | 11,590$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.9 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Atmane | 6c | 8,540$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.33 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed Atmane | 7c | 6,769$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.81 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Atmane | 8c | 6,074$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.92 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…20a1backed Atmane | 8c | 6,060$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Atmane | 6c | 5,976$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.49 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…693fbacked Atmane | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Atmane | 8c | 4,690$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.2 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Atmane | 9c | 4,058$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Atmane | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Atmane | 7c | 3,657$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Atmane | 5c | 2,923$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Atmane | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Atmane | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Atmane | 10c | 2,046$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Atmane | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Atmane | 10c | 1,586$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.67 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Atmane | 13c | 1,575$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Atmane | 6c | 1,395$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Atmane | 8c | 1,300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Atmane | 10c | 1,280$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Atmane | 10c | 1,112$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Atmane | 6c | 1,017$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Atmane | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Atmane | 14c | 699.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Atmane | 4c | 699.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Atmane | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Atmane | 13c | 600$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Atmane | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Atmane | 15c | 597.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Atmane | 5c | 566.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…1895backed Atmane | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Atmane | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Atmane | 15c | 497.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Atmane | 6c | 469.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Atmane | 9c | 393.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.2wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +2,177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Atmane | 12c | 342$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a3…c192backed Atmane | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Atmane | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e85…1ccdbacked Atmane | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Atmane | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…a2e5backed Atmane | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Atmane | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Atmane | 4c | 260.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Atmane | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atmane | 10c | 233.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Atmane | 10c | 195.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed Atmane | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Atmane | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…da86backed Atmane | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.