Space · resolved market
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy booster?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc965a506301a765d36361b7866b839e57114067c8db9a58b4a901756697dfe3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 1c | 32,148$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd70d…83efbacked Yes | 3c | 7,091$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…dc42backed Yes | 4c | 6,408$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…6a63backed Yes | 9c | 4,034$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.85 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fa…4375backed Yes | 4c | 3,984$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,869$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,557$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…01cfbacked Yes | 3c | 3,100$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +172.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…f3cebacked Yes | 3c | 2,955$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 4c | 2,676$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…48c8backed Yes | 1c | 2,432$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…35b1backed Yes | 1c | 2,358$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 14c | 2,267$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…3dadbacked No | 79c | 2,264$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 7c | 1,904$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…c306backed Yes | 65c | 1,756$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad79…4c37backed Yes | 4c | 1,752$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x244b…d87fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,700$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 4c | 1,634$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4e…e2b3backed Yes | 3c | 1,607$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5332…3d88backed Yes | 54c | 1,603$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,475$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Yes | 2c | 1,454$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d7…94cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,400$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 1,399$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 1c | 1,301$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc488…3f68backed Yes | 2c | 1,156$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…d6dabacked Yes | 3c | 1,139$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…8966backed Yes | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…eb60backed Yes | 1c | 999.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 39c | 997.51$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.19 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…4c7bbacked Yes | 43c | 977.79$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.77 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ae…ec7abacked Yes | 1c | 834.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 51c | 824.14$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.04 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 53c | 818.68$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…563bbacked Yes | 3c | 792.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 41c | 783.11$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…7524backed Yes | 3c | 769.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…f9b5backed Yes | 3c | 755.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…7716backed Yes | 4c | 614.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…b8cfbacked Yes | 3c | 522.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…a4f5backed Yes | 2c | 505$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…8e75backed Yes | 3c | 503.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…7c14backed Yes | 22c | 479.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e56…4f3dbacked Yes | 3c | 478.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 53c | 475.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2403…6c3bbacked Yes | 22c | 458.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…e537backed Yes | 4c | 452.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…313bbacked Yes | 4c | 450.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 44c | 443.14$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.51 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…d7a2backed Yes | 23c | 429.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…39a0backed Yes | 5c | 417.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed Yes | 4c | 416.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…f56cbacked Yes | 51c | 366$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…0b69backed Yes | 6c | 360.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790f…2b81backed Yes | 3c | 319.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked No | 78c | 309.24$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 39c | 300$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 37c | 240$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc97e…51a3backed Yes | 35c | 237.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 22c | 233$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 14c | 200.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…5a50backed Yes | 69c | 194.08$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed No | 68c | 168.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…14a4backed Yes | 26c | 157.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…080ebacked Yes | 12c | 151.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +168%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 47c | 139.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 67c | 138.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…1328backed Yes | 25c | 137.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…31a7backed Yes | 50c | 127.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 72c | 116.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…bf35backed No | 32c | 115.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +213.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 38c | 111$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…c263backed Yes | 49c | 106.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…0e88backed No | 57c | 105.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7c…9ad8backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…780dbacked Yes | 34c | 95.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbc…0c54backed No | 75c | 94.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 93.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 54c | 91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 27c | 88.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 44c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 57c | 77.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…89b1backed Yes | 66c | 75.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 52c | 63.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Yes | 67c | 62.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…e34abacked Yes | 38c | 57.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…c799backed Yes | 32c | 55.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Yes | 32c | 50.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy booster?this page
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 1?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 22?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 24?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 25?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 26?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 27?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by July 10?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by July 20?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by June 30?No won
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.