Space · resolved market
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05d3ebc9772dd04a9548dded6461a8f0dd4343d330a2796c20bf59fcd0838c00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x508f…9df2backed Yes | 51c | 37,486$19,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,368.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…c932backed No | 49c | 37,486$18,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,368.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 54c | 7,335$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.94 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed Yes | 62c | 6,855$4,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…6a63backed No | 52c | 4,989$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,604.79 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a2…0f38backed No | 33c | 4,566$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 78c | 4,004$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 30c | 3,968$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed No | 14c | 2,900$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…8966backed Yes | 56c | 2,343$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed No | 41c | 2,338$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 17c | 2,000$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 11c | 1,998$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes | 71c | 1,876$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 30c | 1,782$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e03…dd32backed No | 45c | 1,618$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,515$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bad…cc4cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,282$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,264$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 27c | 1,234$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,102$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…4ea5backed No | 2c | 1,071$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 24c | 1,052$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked No | 44c | 948.99$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 43c | 843.48$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…1211backed No | 51c | 664.13$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 18c | 648.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 18c | 644.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 50c | 600.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…6b43backed No | 38c | 599.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…dbd9backed Yes | 56c | 537.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa757…96cfbacked No | 68c | 485.44$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…f5c6backed Yes | 36c | 458.81$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…e1fdbacked Yes | 54c | 457.21$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed Yes | 63c | 451.39$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 55c | 426.4$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 50c | 422.22$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 48c | 404.6$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.83 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed Yes | 41c | 396.02$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed No | 23c | 393.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89d…d6b7backed No | 76c | 391.98$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…dc42backed Yes | 49c | 378.16$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…5d30backed Yes | 60c | 368$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…b68cbacked No | 30c | 325.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 26c | 303.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 17c | 270.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Yes | 75c | 264.97$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…d8dcbacked Yes | 45c | 250$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 50c | 223$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Yes | 47c | 219.45$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29e0…830bbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 51c | 188.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…1f17backed Yes | 53c | 187.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 39c | 183.24$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…9d7cbacked Yes | 48c | 165.76$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…2143backed Yes | 62c | 162.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 55c | 160.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 29c | 156.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99c…aff1backed Yes | 48c | 149.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…915dbacked Yes | 52c | 147.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 51c | 138.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…9f87backed Yes | 49c | 138.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…6ce6backed Yes | 60c | 138.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 24c | 135.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…c306backed No | 14c | 119.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed No | 54c | 118.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7512…0f34backed Yes | 15c | 117$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +250.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 23c | 111.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 51c | 111$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…efa8backed Yes | 62c | 106.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 39c | 104.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a43…2f2abacked Yes | 48c | 104.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…245ebacked No | 53c | 101.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…e6f1backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 44c | 94.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878c…c12abacked No | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…4c8cbacked Yes | 34c | 82.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…c097backed Yes | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f76…b11fbacked Yes | 42c | 71.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1576backed Yes | 38c | 66.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked Yes | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…cd90backed Yes | 42c | 62.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…01cfbacked No | 34c | 58.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eda…17d1backed No | 57c | 56.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 40c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fa…4375backed Yes | 74c | 50.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…363fbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…b56dbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 50c | 49.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?this page
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 15?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 1?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 22?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 24?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 25?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 26?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 27?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 31?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by July 10?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by July 20?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by June 30?No won
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy booster?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.