College Football · resolved market
Washington vs. Maryland Terrapins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0fc8f79b5b2cdce8cf293d03bf90ad96d7a6b0e9eed3db4be770529434fb593
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washingtonof Washington, Maryland Terrapins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Washington | 19c | 6,969$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,640.39 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Washington | 24c | 5,753$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,344.7 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Washington | 67c | 4,938$3,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.47 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Washington | 26c | 3,000$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.68 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Washington | 65c | 2,369$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.98 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maryland Terrapins | 33c | 2,070$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.1 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Maryland Terrapins | 33c | 2,060$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.82 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Maryland Terrapins | 35c | 1,803$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.9 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maryland Terrapins | 73c | 1,548$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.91 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Washington | 25c | 1,482$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.35 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Washington | 67c | 1,248$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.46 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Washington | 65c | 1,038$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.02 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Maryland Terrapins | 35c | 902.74$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maryland Terrapins | 76c | 857.04$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.93 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Washington | 66c | 854.99$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.7 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Maryland Terrapins | 32c | 837.87$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.62 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Washington | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Washington | 27c | 738.58$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.47 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Maryland Terrapins | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Maryland Terrapins | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Washington | 15c | 500.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.3 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Washington | 41c | 477.27$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.77 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Washington | 52c | 372.25$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.96 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Maryland Terrapins | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…0e88backed Maryland Terrapins | 42c | 331.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Washington | 19c | 327.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.63 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc0…4ce8backed Maryland Terrapins | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 293$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…a8e0backed Maryland Terrapins | 35c | 266.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Washington | 48c | 219$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Maryland Terrapins | 33c | 193.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Maryland Terrapins | 44c | 164.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Maryland Terrapins | 35c | 157.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Maryland Terrapins | 33c | 155$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Washington | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8926…5aacbacked Washington | 68c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Washington | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Maryland Terrapins | 59c | 144.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Washington | 13c | 102.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Washington | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Maryland Terrapins | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Maryland Terrapins | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Maryland Terrapins | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.1wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Washington | 29c | 86.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Maryland Terrapins | 40c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…d466backed Washington | 70c | 61.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Washington | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Washington | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Maryland Terrapins | 46c | 35.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Washington | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Washington | 67c | 20.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…3ba5backed Washington | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd715…5792backed Washington | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…b1babacked Washington | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e1…0e40backed Maryland Terrapins | 80c | 14.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington vs. Maryland Terrapinsthis page
- Spread: Washington (-5.5)Maryland Terrapins won
- Spread: Washington (-6.5)Maryland Terrapins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.