TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$313,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,175

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,851 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61bf…647ebacked No61c45,852$27,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,964.061421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-59.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes25c41,845$10,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,239.052425%6 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Yes38c20,197$7,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,440.841030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes44c18,747$8,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,447.378939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes63c16,303$10,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,059.665255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes49c16,140$7,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,203742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes43c8,000$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,595.882536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1476…cee6backed Yes34c7,861$2,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,159.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed No64c6,882$4,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,433.293716.2%6 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No74c6,553$4,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,819.518622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No67c6,316$4,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,210.7714356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No53c6,067$3,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.332240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf359…3473backed No71c5,935$4,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e44…e83fbacked Yes64c4,963$3,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes36c4,897$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.091926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No42c4,112$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.621145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Yes54c4,018$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes38c3,917$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.636331.7%20 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked No58c3,725$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.54472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed No73c3,195$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.184134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b20…75d3backed Yes31c3,101$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.981338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes34c2,913$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.296866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Yes16c2,799$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.951323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes28c2,783$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.617739%30 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes29c2,756$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.0721337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b32…32c1backed No74c2,678$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No72c2,225$1,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.3712246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed No4c2,150$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.34136.6%15 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes53c2,000$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9301376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes12c1,956$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.665959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes32c1,930$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.686732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes25c1,882$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.447733.8%26 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes38c1,780$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.643228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes39c1,635$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.2312523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-67%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2130…b64dbacked No61c1,450$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.562236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes23c1,309$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.651625%4 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes44c1,298$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.832450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe841…1b59backed Yes68c1,258$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-50.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes35c1,070$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.56835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes43c1,025$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.75028%14 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes37c1,000$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.11776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6405154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebd…cb20backed No70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No72c989$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.911752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes28c946.42$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.924936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd443…4bcabacked Yes34c910.75$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.851637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes40c895.89$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.869223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbab6…50a2backed Yes38c870$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df7…522dbacked No13c866.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.26875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8338…8be1backed Yes60c781.9$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.652450%12 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No42c779.61$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.1411266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked Yes29c730$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.971338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No66c722.63$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.825759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4da…87dbbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick6cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes22c622.43$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.432828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x825e…904fbacked No72c621.84$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.371258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes63c600$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.841464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked No72c590.28$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf830…3437backed Yes16c578.85$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.61020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+63.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes41c570$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.42646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc79f…9decbacked Yes42c567.13$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.29520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-52.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa52…4121backed Yes29c557.9$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b6…f9d9backed Yes18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.561233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes24c539.71$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.321872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+53.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes38c516.93$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.8112325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc2…0933backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…392cbacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe877…32d1backed Yes41c490.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.34560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes44c432.1$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.18338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes11c426.73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.713321.2%7 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0c…a2c6backed Yes35c418.54$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+85%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x612f…aa53backed No74c407$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.164047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes34c400$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2643423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5657…78aebacked No75c390.25$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.69540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick74cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Yes35c381.89$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.521580%12 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No68c376.22$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.6212353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No36c368.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.633571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No62c350$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21710051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No33c348.32$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.235763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes36c341.23$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.391442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No33c338.73$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.063571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8ab…ac7cbacked Yes45c336.69$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.691154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick29cpaid+64.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9705…12f9backed Yes12c328.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.76520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf85f…9800backed Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.87742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes19c311.45$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7912616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1feb…92b7backed No74c310.4$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b48…09e4backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+84.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b68…32a2backed Yes38c305$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b2…447ebacked Yes30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c3…8cd8backed Yes29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2131330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes36c291.03$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.71520%3 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19af…dd83backed Yes24c290.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.482123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc91…3330backed No73c274.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Yes30c269.8$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.361625%4 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes23c269.13$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9412646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes14c250$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.