TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,012,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,012,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,012,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 438 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7bde…8c91backed No55c396,525$217,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179,088.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes44c147,864$65,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,489.223228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Yes43c115,550$49,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,571.491030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes43c77,657$33,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,357.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No63c64,765$40,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,148.065255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No60c54,338$32,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,982.421145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No56c43,496$24,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,982.2614356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes41c24,926$10,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,161.488622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…be05backed Yes47c19,513$9,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,238.146225.8%16 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb747…b050backed Yes51c17,497$8,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,874.285733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes40c17,187$6,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,811.131926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No53c16,063$8,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,617.1112246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e44…e83fbacked Yes52c14,439$7,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,540.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Yes50c14,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1476…cee6backed Yes50c12,797$6,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,431.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No48c12,701$6,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,569.022240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No52c10,940$5,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,283.611421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-59.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked No60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0002123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick18cpaid-57.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes40c10,000$4,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,027.692536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No59c9,322$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,821.843348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed No59c8,500$5,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,485757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes50c8,163$4,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,087.432425%6 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes35c7,075$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,458.643716.2%6 W · 31 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Yes68c5,421$3,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,662.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Yes45c5,150$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.54472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No51c4,829$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.27944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No61c4,774$2,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.71580%12 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed No50c4,616$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.018939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcabc…19b1backed Yes44c4,580$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.751127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x612f…aa53backed Yes1c4,300$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344047.5%19 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed No61c4,176$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.595149%25 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed No61c3,800$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4905100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+134.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed Yes7c3,428$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No61c3,000$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.2421337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes46c2,877$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.95759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed Yes7c2,856$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.92714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Yes22c2,613$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.311323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65f…a749backed Yes44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes23c2,476$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.329223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes62c2,365$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa43…cbdfbacked Yes43c2,350$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-57.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Yes50c2,325$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.751250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes52c2,002$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0402450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb998…75d0backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked No50c2,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.992646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+70.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b20…75d3backed Yes52c1,836$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.981338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes40c1,816$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.134134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Yes48c1,638$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.042025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-64%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No51c1,633$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.11346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes32c1,626$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.957028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No60c1,407$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.7420843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc26…24d0backed Yes62c1,387$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8601428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No56c1,373$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.8712353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3596…6c81backed Yes67c1,358$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.211421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c3…8cd8backed Yes42c1,325$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.921330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No52c1,305$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.0312616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b7a…4817backed No56c1,302$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.576845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No56c1,253$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.556966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes51c1,240$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6311464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes34c1,187$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.056835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes47c1,177$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.726732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No36c1,162$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+71%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No59c1,119$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.1311266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Yes46c1,105$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.541711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed No53c1,097$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.684348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes47c1,050$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4924936.7%18 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed Yes39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc42…1e35backed Yes50c1,019$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed No48c1,018$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.612339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4007955.7%44 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4702100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ebd…cb20backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5205154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes47c999.97$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.991618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked Yes43c959.05$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.521338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes53c956.25$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b56…8489backed Yes42c849.79$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-66.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Yes49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked No72c766.61$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.595959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No48c754.57$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.683571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Yes29c748.62$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.567715.6%12 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1e…e465backed No56c738.44$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.553571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes11c720.35$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.24520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No67c683.76$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.949165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes49c673.42$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed No54c668.98$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.981758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes35c667.77$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e17…2e74backed Yes48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No60c601.92$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.067950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes41c588.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3412325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed No51c588.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.268338.6%32 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x825e…904fbacked No63c569.99$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.591258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac6…66b2backed Yes58c565.02$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.36850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes45c550.02$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6edd…ef95backed Yes57c543.09$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed No57c527.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.965763.2%36 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc79f…9decbacked Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-52.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2437…3906backed Yes42c503.38$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.