Champions League · resolved market
Will Chelsea beat Palmeiras in regulation time?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8f33e004d14cff0d9531f0498570850f7d33986101825f637b9676461171f82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed No | 52c | 41,585$21,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,624.24 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 51c | 24,293$12,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,908.31 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 48c | 13,062$6,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,792.25 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 48c | 9,607$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995.38 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 49c | 6,989$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.47 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 51c | 6,130$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.42 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 49c | 5,857$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.78 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 44c | 5,163$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.83 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 41c | 2,436$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.23 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 52c | 2,040$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.79 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 48c | 1,468$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.22 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…b6cebacked Yes | 52c | 1,278$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 49c | 1,272$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.4 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 41c | 1,022$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.11 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 50c | 996.88$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 47c | 917.21$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.78 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 51c | 884.76$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.79 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked No | 48c | 796.92$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.52 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 51c | 666.67$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 53c | 650.19$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.6 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 50c | 650$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Yes | 62c | 640.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.32 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 51c | 612.85$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.19 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 62c | 600$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 51c | 500$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.57 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 53c | 499.97$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.98 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 48c | 436.59$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.64 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…ac5abacked Yes | 55c | 426.13$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Yes | 52c | 380.77$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 49c | 355$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 28c | 341.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.05 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 49c | 330$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 40c | 326$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 49c | 291$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 30c | 270$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Yes | 50c | 264$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 49c | 260$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 49c | 257$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 51c | 249.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.28 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 51c | 248.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Yes | 51c | 236.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 49c | 230$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…c308backed Yes | 51c | 226.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed No | 53c | 213$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked No | 51c | 197.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 50c | 187.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 54c | 186.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 49c | 170.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…0d31backed Yes | 74c | 155.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Yes | 37c | 150$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…f9dfbacked Yes | 74c | 130.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes | 75c | 119.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 68c | 110$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Yes | 46c | 100.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Yes | 48c | 100.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 52c | 97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 47c | 90$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Yes | 51c | 81.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 49c | 77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…73eabacked No | 53c | 75.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14df…b23dbacked Yes | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…0e88backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…f920backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…6184backed Yes | 48c | 42.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +305.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9861…1603backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 52c | 37.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…522dbacked No | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2f…a84dbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…039cbacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 51c | 28.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea beat Palmeiras in regulation time?this page
- Will Palmeiras beat Chelsea in regulation time?No won
- Will Palmeiras vs. Chelsea end in a draw after regulation time?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.