College Football · resolved market
Maryland vs. Wisconsin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f9ce029d4e77986b7204bf74c6fd31f11bfae9a0b11b40368e05409bc674b68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marylandof Maryland, Wisconsin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wisconsin | 26c | 7,348$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.01 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Maryland | 47c | 7,142$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,787.7 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Maryland | 26c | 5,451$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050.56 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Wisconsin | 77c | 3,475$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.44 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Maryland | 54c | 3,057$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wisconsin | 4c | 2,973$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Wisconsin | 77c | 2,674$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.11 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Maryland | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Wisconsin | 30c | 2,313$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Wisconsin | 74c | 2,153$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.05 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Wisconsin | 10c | 2,006$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wisconsin | 74c | 1,752$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.25 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maryland | 55c | 1,101$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.29 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wisconsin | 74c | 1,010$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.6 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Wisconsin | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maryland | 65c | 881.87$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.33 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Maryland | 23c | 862.91$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.42 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Maryland | 72c | 779.34$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.19 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maryland | 59c | 774.39$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.54 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Wisconsin | 10c | 705.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Wisconsin | 2c | 698$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Maryland | 23c | 688$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.68 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wisconsin | 75c | 672.4$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.09 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Wisconsin | 15c | 626.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Maryland | 26c | 538.76$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.76 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423b…c120backed Wisconsin | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…d00abacked Maryland | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…a74dbacked Wisconsin | 77c | 474.03$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Maryland | 22c | 459.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.76 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Wisconsin | 9c | 454.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Wisconsin | 11c | 454.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Wisconsin | 54c | 443.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Wisconsin | 76c | 350$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wisconsin | 4c | 278$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wisconsin | 22c | 274.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Maryland | 25c | 250$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Wisconsin | 37c | 224.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maryland | 25c | 219$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.07 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Wisconsin | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Wisconsin | 40c | 197$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…a034backed Maryland | 26c | 180.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Wisconsin | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Wisconsin | 77c | 148.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Wisconsin | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…86f1backed Wisconsin | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Wisconsin | 79c | 129.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maryland | 65c | 113.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…0e88backed Maryland | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Maryland | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Maryland | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wisconsin | 74c | 92.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Maryland | 22c | 89.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…b5c7backed Maryland | 24c | 88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed Maryland | 23c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Wisconsin | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…d054backed Wisconsin | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…8743backed Wisconsin | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2c…f53ebacked Maryland | 25c | 54.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Wisconsin | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Maryland | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Maryland | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd457…0823backed Maryland | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Wisconsin | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…52d3backed Wisconsin | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Wisconsin | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…ac9bbacked Wisconsin | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…876ebacked Wisconsin | 77c | 20.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…4d4bbacked Maryland | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…f0bbbacked Wisconsin | 77c | 14.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maryland vs. Wisconsinthis page
- Maryland vs. Wisconsin: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Wisconsin (-10.5)Maryland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.