MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc13c317a44ba7bcc8350fb34b3d83878ca745d55c751f59b264c3427cbc2ed5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Orioles | 36c | 171,135$60,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,789.66 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Tigers | 64c | 48,740$31,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,607.35 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Tigers | 64c | 39,999$25,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,399.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Tigers | 64c | 14,936$9,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,376.95 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Tigers | 65c | 11,644$7,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,075.47 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.98 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Tigers | 67c | 9,224$6,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.98 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Orioles | 35c | 9,040$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.87 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 64c | 8,501$5,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.11 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Tigers | 63c | 7,865$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.95 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers | 64c | 7,354$4,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.28 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Tigers | 64c | 7,090$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.44 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Orioles | 0c | 5,117$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 64c | 4,936$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 37c | 4,324$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Orioles | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.98 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers | 64c | 3,600$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Tigers | 65c | 3,080$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.38 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 68c | 2,970$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.75 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Tigers | 65c | 2,815$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.25 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 65c | 2,810$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.5 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…5ecbbacked Tigers | 64c | 2,611$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…b708backed Orioles | 36c | 2,610$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…1070backed Orioles | 13c | 2,489$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.88 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 37c | 2,404$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.63 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Tigers | 59c | 2,361$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.52 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Orioles | 10c | 2,200$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 38c | 2,091$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.67 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 34c | 2,067$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.27 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Tigers | 60c | 2,060$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Tigers | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Tigers | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.98 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Orioles | 37c | 1,826$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Orioles | 18c | 1,759$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.92 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Orioles | 37c | 1,688$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.56 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Tigers | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a4…4813backed Tigers | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Tigers | 79c | 1,527$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.04 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c63…3542backed Orioles | 10c | 1,406$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Orioles | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Orioles | 17c | 1,183$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.36 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Orioles | 2c | 1,149$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Orioles | 7c | 1,122$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Orioles | 31c | 1,102$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.8 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Tigers | 61c | 1,045$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tigers | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Tigers | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Orioles | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…bc8dbacked Tigers | 65c | 862$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…609fbacked Orioles | 4c | 818.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Tigers | 73c | 765.97$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Orioles | 35c | 712.63$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.42 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 21c | 641.15$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Orioles | 2c | 625$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Tigers | 65c | 619.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.43 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…7e7dbacked Orioles | 35c | 615.23$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…502bbacked Tigers | 65c | 614.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Tigers | 65c | 603.97$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.39 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Orioles | 7c | 598.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…8b05backed Tigers | 65c | 557.31$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.06 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Orioles | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 62c | 499.87$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.95 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…d4cbbacked Orioles | 36c | 486.53$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…eb2ebacked Orioles | 36c | 482.22$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Tigers | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…6951backed Orioles | 36c | 442.39$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Orioles | 25c | 436.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 62c | 412.36$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.7 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 36c | 399.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 64c | 389.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.42 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…ac6dbacked Orioles | 36c | 387.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf02…d625backed Orioles | 36c | 384.92$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Tigers | 65c | 383.08$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.08 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Orioles | 32c | 350$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.45 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Orioles | 35c | 345.31$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Orioles | 35c | 328.8$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…6f02backed Tigers | 65c | 311.6$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Tigers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Tigers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Tigers | 65c | 306.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Tigers | 67c | 305.97$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Tigers | 65c | 304.62$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…e089backed Orioles | 18c | 304.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e41…d051backed Tigers | 65c | 300.26$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Tigers | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Tigers | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.84 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 34c | 295.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…7ccebacked Tigers | 65c | 294.31$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orioles | 35c | 291.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e6…10d7backed Tigers | 65c | 288.37$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Tigers | 65c | 282$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…93e6backed Tigers | 65c | 266.82$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers | 65c | 264.62$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.62 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Tigers | 64c | 256$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e29…4aedbacked Orioles | 36c | 253.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Tigers | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.