MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa87ab6685569dfe9483cbdae8f33eafec179af5585492bd6a2141251cd8f2302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Phillies | 40c | 69,000$27,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,400 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees | 60c | 44,979$26,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,987.11 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yankees | 60c | 35,347$21,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,207.92 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Phillies | 40c | 25,555$10,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,333 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Phillies | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 62c | 18,028$11,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,183.53 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 43c | 12,997$5,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,532.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Phillies | 38c | 10,502$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,502.02 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 59c | 10,104$5,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,920.76 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Yankees | 60c | 7,232$4,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,342.91 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Yankees | 49c | 6,828$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.4 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…2d03backed Phillies | 42c | 5,942$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,446.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yankees | 13c | 5,937$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.5 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Phillies | 34c | 5,859$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.16 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yankees | 32c | 5,367$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.76 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yankees | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 59c | 3,803$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.89 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 37c | 3,599$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.27 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Phillies | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.93 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees | 74c | 2,707$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Yankees | 60c | 2,599$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.67 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Phillies | 45c | 2,550$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Yankees | 59c | 2,243$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.37 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…7718backed Yankees | 59c | 2,200$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…28d2backed Phillies | 41c | 2,200$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.94 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266d…facabacked Phillies | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc17…7b65backed Yankees | 59c | 1,644$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…53aebacked Phillies | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ea…f8fdbacked Phillies | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f71…5b8bbacked Phillies | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1c…02edbacked Yankees | 59c | 1,450$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Phillies | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.89 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Phillies | 44c | 1,400$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.5 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dae…0907backed Yankees | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…bc5dbacked Yankees | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee73…18e6backed Yankees | 59c | 1,350$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…391ebacked Phillies | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 38c | 1,252$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.49 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…a6ddbacked Phillies | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…9a99backed Phillies | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63db…4401backed Yankees | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…efe2backed Phillies | 41c | 1,154$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 58c | 1,061$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.57 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ce…7d8bbacked Phillies | 41c | 1,046$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…d436backed Yankees | 59c | 1,044$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…8b69backed Yankees | 59c | 1,014$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 58c | 997.22$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yankees | 51c | 967$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.85 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…118cbacked Yankees | 59c | 942$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 42c | 900$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…a9eebacked Yankees | 59c | 858$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Yankees | 15c | 667.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.56 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.56 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Phillies | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Phillies | 40c | 499.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.97 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Phillies | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Phillies | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Phillies | 42c | 400$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.73 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Yankees | 28c | 376.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.44 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Yankees | 12c | 373$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4d70backed Phillies | 34c | 350.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Yankees | 47c | 338.42$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Phillies | 49c | 325.41$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Phillies | 47c | 314.78$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.83 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Phillies | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Yankees | 7c | 283.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Phillies | 41c | 275.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.81 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 55c | 252.22$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Phillies | 41c | 250.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Phillies | 41c | 244$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 60c | 240$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Phillies | 24c | 211.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.49 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 58c | 204$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Phillies | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed Phillies | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…7fb2backed Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…2737backed Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…8938backed Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…ee08backed Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…36d3backed Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7d39backed Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…bd65backed Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…88d1backed Yankees | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.