TailMyPicks
Market

Champions League · resolved market

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,932 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No30c40,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.9910643.4%46 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No67c25,000$16,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,749.958241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes80c20,000$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0003262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c17,167$5,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,271.892,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes33c11,714$3,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,856.229146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Yes60c10,960$6,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,388.354949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes60c9,498$5,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,809.329336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc919…a162backed No43c4,654$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-62.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No67c3,718$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.0210051%51 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No66c3,633$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385.2323247.4%110 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed No68c3,600$2,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.971376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes31c3,060$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.6714235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0cc…5cb7backed No67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No67c2,379$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.0439842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36016349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes33c1,813$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.0216136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8655…39c0backed Yes34c1,800$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+121.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes32c1,700$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14919028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.155630.4%17 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Yes33c1,488$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes32c1,475$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00340222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.893450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No66c1,229$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.1614952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x043d…2807backed Yes34c1,200$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.273100%3 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+219.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes33c1,162$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.222623.1%6 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No40c1,158$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.193122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No40c1,064$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.069444.7%42 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes61c1,025$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.728345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No68c1,001$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.3938048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes60c937.6$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.0338935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c869.92$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.061,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c859$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.9429846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No40c731.11$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.0458248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No65c678.96$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.2844955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes74c677.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes59c627.3$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.34645.7%21 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No67c599.18$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.4511950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes33c515.15$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.158433.3%28 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes57c461.81$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4438343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes33c454.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes69c450$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.68862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No67c447.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x341e…9b67backed Yes74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Yes36c364.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.991540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked No68c345$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.61060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes32c333$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.448626.7%23 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Yes62c322$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.361258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7253…89edbacked Yes65c314.86$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-74.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41c5…7d0ebacked Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb86…1dc5backed No68c303.92$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.241050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.031952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfb…2398backed Yes36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaea…b079backed Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2013043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No68c279.94$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3639746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes36c275.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.315246.2%24 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a76…ddd4backed No69c269$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+285.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa979…21cfbacked Yes33c269$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No65c262.25$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2646956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed No67c250$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1671060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16014044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ae…b243backed Yes73c245.6$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.31683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes33c242.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.421833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Yes33c221.15$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.171216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No68c204.94$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.367953.2%42 W · 37 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ffb…4966backed Yes32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9047…b9d2backed No68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a7…0464backed Yes33c178.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes32c164.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1913238.6%51 W · 81 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes61c164.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.242755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cee…85dabacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.253148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes33c151.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.694153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.525841.4%24 W · 34 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c03…b633backed Yes35c151$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.151050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10237544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2791…2791backed Yes31c149.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.482665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a95…686cbacked Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.86850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+71.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes37c134.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.314542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No65c123.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.163342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No65c123.49$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0438356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No64c123.11$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3518754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.214829.2%14 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e94…651fbacked Yes33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+199.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.212944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Yes35c121.12$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.122240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783e…d7c8backed Yes36c118.61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.911546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df8…5332backed Yes34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.65944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…cd69backed Yes35c114.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.291163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No22c113.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.348427.4%23 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked No68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687451.4%38 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee90…4d8cbacked No67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+48.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6a…7a67backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes31c99.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9914947%70 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.