Champions League · resolved market
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4f4f375920e1c838df4d7bec36a907a691ee494d12af7dbbfde53e146293235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.96 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 4,495$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.94 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 75c | 1,967$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.58 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 1,961$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.64 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes | 31c | 1,604$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 24c | 838.63$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.27 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…463dbacked Yes | 12c | 837.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 26c | 784.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 76c | 727.65$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.09 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 76c | 724$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.76 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 721.65$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.34 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…1ba1backed Yes | 29c | 681.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 26c | 468.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2171…924bbacked Yes | 25c | 400.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 74c | 393.6$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 71c | 357$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf36c…440abacked Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 22c | 245.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…689abacked Yes | 27c | 187.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4557backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…3b53backed No | 76c | 130.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…ef9bbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 25c | 113.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 105.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 71c | 87.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed No | 76c | 77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0332…416dbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…d5b8backed No | 76c | 65.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…7028backed Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…36dfbacked Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…60a7backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…dabfbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 74c | 26.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04?Yes won
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.