Golf · resolved market

Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23bab9493f1b7d4aadb7754b91c6677963ca5cb43a2e2c276321ea53279cf8e5

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $515,374
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $298,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,374 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xccc4…5fa6backed Yes	1c	39,864$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.18	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+174.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	0c	29,862$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.45	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa000…9630backed Yes	0c	23,031$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Yes	1c	20,605$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.26	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0926…4624backed Yes	1c	12,200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-78.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes	1c	10,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Yes	0c	9,698$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.95	56	0%0 W · 56 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9faf…778cbacked Yes	1c	9,118$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x203c…1a98backed Yes	1c	7,250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500b…17c5backed Yes	0c	6,479$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.24	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes	1c	6,272$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.92	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-82.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes	1c	6,248$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.99	49	16.3%8 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes	0c	5,340$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.27	35	0%0 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	0c	5,252$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	52	1.9%1 W · 51 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5c31…b166backed Yes	0c	5,105$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dfa…b205backed Yes	0c	4,895$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.18	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd31…d389backed Yes	0c	4,541$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes	0c	4,500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	26	0%0 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a62…8b90backed Yes	0c	3,660$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.52	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes	0c	3,572$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	47	8.5%4 W · 43 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a5…7a02backed Yes	0c	3,497$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.49	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb236…ca07backed Yes	0c	3,350$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	1c	3,340$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb654…602bbacked Yes	0c	3,330$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.91	23	0%0 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5458…0b85backed Yes	0c	3,100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes	0c	3,047$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	44	0%0 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0231…45d0backed Yes	2c	1,445$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.56	82	9.8%8 W · 74 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes	11c	1,249$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.72	67	1.5%1 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	8cpaid	-94%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event