NFL · resolved market
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b4d5a978ba4a01038ef0a8e48ec44b4b14c773a8646868b50f0057a228e0881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $285,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 11c | 115,417$12,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,913.64 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Yes | 4c | 15,473$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 8c | 10,979$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.28 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb005…1c3ebacked Yes | 9c | 8,678$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 8,029$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.01 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 5c | 6,420$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.91 | 65 | 0%0 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 5c | 6,266$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.28 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 1c | 4,991$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 6c | 3,365$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.17 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,096$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…8608backed Yes | 2c | 2,824$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 5c | 2,306$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 5c | 1,967$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.06 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,588$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 5c | 1,166$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c5…a280backed Yes | 9c | 1,056$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Yes | 8c | 1,054$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 7c | 999.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…cc8fbacked Yes | 6c | 990.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…1aacbacked No | 79c | 841.28$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 5c | 840.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 799.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf870…40e1backed Yes | 8c | 750.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…7723backed Yes | 7c | 744.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 4c | 720.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…0874backed Yes | 8c | 619.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca56backed Yes | 8c | 605.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 2c | 603.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe926…1c9bbacked Yes | 8c | 595.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…f291backed Yes | 7c | 544$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…02efbacked Yes | 5c | 533.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 13c | 500$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.5 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 9c | 500$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.5 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Yes | 10c | 453.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…c10dbacked Yes | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…7f6abacked Yes | 9c | 444.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8694…ab4cbacked Yes | 9c | 415.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee58…5ad3backed Yes | 5c | 400.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…4d2cbacked No | 12c | 400$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed6…1249backed Yes | 5c | 392.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…7a55backed Yes | 13c | 392.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…a8efbacked Yes | 13c | 383.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…8670backed Yes | 5c | 383.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be0…0c71backed Yes | 14c | 362.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c73…d2e0backed Yes | 4c | 347.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…c7cfbacked Yes | 9c | 321.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +425.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 7c | 299.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5595…12a8backed Yes | 7c | 260$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…4b83backed Yes | 6c | 259.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…297dbacked Yes | 9c | 255.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…a00fbacked Yes | 8c | 240.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…9a96backed Yes | 9c | 232.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…70abbacked Yes | 9c | 229.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3f…ef83backed Yes | 10c | 221.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…3f26backed Yes | 9c | 217.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…5676backed Yes | 6c | 206.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5170…b032backed Yes | 5c | 189.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…bdddbacked Yes | 8c | 186.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed Yes | 8c | 171.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…dc91backed Yes | 9c | 161.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…ca15backed Yes | 7c | 152.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…d936backed Yes | 10c | 151.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…860fbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db6…e1babacked No | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…d028backed Yes | 12c | 122.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…1790backed Yes | 9c | 121$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…9636backed Yes | 10c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 7cpaid | +216%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 7cpaid | +216%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…d2a3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed No | 69c | 25.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…2e74backed No | 69c | 15.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?this page
- No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?Yes won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.