NFL · resolved market
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c051c5a2da9b3931bf376c6bf7cd7b4152ff6b59deae54e56c8e010ecda462b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $331,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 26c | 135,151$34,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,643.79 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 22c | 12,842$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed No | 80c | 9,030$7,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed No | 74c | 5,182$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 76c | 4,535$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.08 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…9750backed No | 73c | 4,106$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 76c | 3,776$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.02 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 75c | 2,795$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.5 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Yes | 23c | 2,429$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.15 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b449backed No | 76c | 2,422$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 74c | 2,298$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.49 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…deb6backed Yes | 6c | 2,178$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,070$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.18 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…c62fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a0…bbcfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,930$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Yes | 1c | 1,886$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 17c | 1,813$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…970bbacked No | 79c | 1,813$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 79c | 1,750$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed Yes | 25c | 1,603$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed No | 75c | 1,522$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 1,457$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.5 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cb…618ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,296$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed No | 80c | 1,292$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.21 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa75a…8e0fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,278$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 78c | 1,278$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked No | 79c | 1,264$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 1,258$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.06 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 78c | 1,257$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 78c | 1,148$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.1 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5191…70d9backed Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Yes | 5c | 999.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a1…13a3backed Yes | 10c | 979.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed No | 68c | 978.65$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed No | 80c | 959.91$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.76 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0088…fe52backed Yes | 25c | 941.26$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 21c | 938.03$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 76c | 936.24$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…7f86backed Yes | 7c | 838$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 80c | 838$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.43 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c5…a280backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…af65backed Yes | 21c | 779.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7efa…5b20backed Yes | 23c | 718.44$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b2…07adbacked Yes | 23c | 699.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed No | 77c | 650.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.24 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 646.94$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…867cbacked Yes | 24c | 624.71$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2041…39fbbacked Yes | 17c | 575.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 22c | 568.54$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…f25ebacked Yes | 24c | 563.62$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 65c | 560$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 76c | 550.43$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…d89abacked No | 75c | 530.99$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Yes | 19c | 520$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0e…407abacked Yes | 25c | 511.86$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9515…10d7backed Yes | 3c | 499.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 34c | 449.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a16…4905backed Yes | 29c | 439.4$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…0095backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Yes | 21c | 422.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 72c | 421.81$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c30…1cffbacked Yes | 25c | 421.28$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…c64cbacked Yes | 24c | 402.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…d1d8backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed No | 74c | 398.28$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 22c | 391.34$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 31c | 370.6$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Yes | 26c | 358.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 19c | 357.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 75c | 351.54$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6298…a8dfbacked Yes | 29c | 344.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 20c | 343.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…a977backed Yes | 31c | 334.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 62c | 334.13$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…488fbacked Yes | 28c | 332.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b8…a380backed Yes | 5c | 331$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8083backed Yes | 23c | 322.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…0db5backed Yes | 28c | 310.21$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…8fc6backed Yes | 33c | 303.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…42dcbacked Yes | 16c | 299.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5658…893abacked Yes | 20c | 294.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcec…ff3fbacked Yes | 28c | 290.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…33efbacked Yes | 35c | 286.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18cc…bdd4backed Yes | 18c | 285$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacfd…80b4backed Yes | 19c | 279.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 279.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bd…3c32backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…8e06backed No | 74c | 265$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc726…c39abacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed Yes | 19c | 249.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Yes | 29c | 242.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…4cd0backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 16c | 234$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 65 | 0%0 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…8608backed Yes | 12c | 217.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…460cbacked Yes | 22c | 216.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed Yes | 24c | 211.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yes | 22c | 205.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…2815backed Yes | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?this page
- No Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be blue?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be clear/water?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?Yes won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be purple?No won
- Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be red/pink?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.