F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85310499e44214cae42d3ae7dc075c2037402e023552ebe419053d7db4b73f17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $465,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $448,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $465,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e10…0cd4backed Yes | 3c | 9,779$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…09abbacked Yes | 3c | 5,526$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 4,884$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b10…0473backed Yes | 3c | 4,788$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…2beebacked Yes | 3c | 4,637$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505b…93bebacked Yes | 3c | 4,259$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c3…ef80backed Yes | 4c | 4,080$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c607backed Yes | 3c | 3,741$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…3949backed Yes | 4c | 3,665$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…32a7backed Yes | 3c | 3,527$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e5…7c6ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,391$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7213…6835backed Yes | 4c | 2,775$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcd…167dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,739$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…0a80backed Yes | 3c | 2,620$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…dd8dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,603$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…8e2fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,581$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…37debacked Yes | 3c | 2,520$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8c…63cdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,436$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…ddb8backed Yes | 5c | 2,425$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a47…8df1backed Yes | 4c | 2,419$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…9046backed Yes | 5c | 2,379$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…4487backed Yes | 3c | 2,359$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d97…d3a9backed Yes | 4c | 2,352$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a37…214ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,332$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,305$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dff…7f3fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,155$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…d4e9backed Yes | 4c | 2,134$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…04a3backed Yes | 4c | 2,125$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…bf8fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,075$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51c…ebc6backed Yes | 4c | 2,059$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf2…f76cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,037$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 2c | 1,955$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…c564backed Yes | 3c | 1,937$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81db…3237backed Yes | 3c | 1,918$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd276…9d69backed Yes | 3c | 1,904$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c85…d15dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,795$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…422cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,759$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…8db1backed Yes | 3c | 1,710$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…8d48backed Yes | 5c | 1,683$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e6…5f55backed Yes | 4c | 1,672$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…9e14backed Yes | 3c | 1,614$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6095…db53backed Yes | 3c | 1,574$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…dc8ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,564$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…8677backed Yes | 3c | 1,560$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f2…cb26backed Yes | 5c | 1,553$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…7a75backed Yes | 3c | 1,542$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…805ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,537$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…03e7backed Yes | 5c | 1,527$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c8…315abacked Yes | 3c | 1,514$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,510$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8931…fb94backed Yes | 4c | 1,463$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…0fa8backed Yes | 3c | 1,461$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9d…26cebacked Yes | 5c | 1,435$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…b810backed Yes | 3c | 1,376$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…98bdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,373$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b27…80f2backed Yes | 3c | 1,307$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…60a4backed Yes | 3c | 1,290$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…2891backed Yes | 3c | 1,273$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…fafebacked Yes | 3c | 1,264$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 2c | 1,256$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6d…e581backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…eff5backed Yes | 4c | 1,183$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…a0febacked Yes | 4c | 1,173$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…f8d8backed Yes | 3c | 1,104$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f65…3924backed Yes | 3c | 1,094$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdd…e6a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,093$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…cbd8backed Yes | 3c | 1,093$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 1c | 1,089$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…00c0backed Yes | 3c | 1,057$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…d88ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,028$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc71…2ad5backed Yes | 5c | 982$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cb…572fbacked Yes | 3c | 977$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bd…64d6backed Yes | 4c | 966$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab76…ccd3backed Yes | 3c | 949$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…33b6backed Yes | 3c | 937$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…364cbacked Yes | 3c | 920.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4491…5fb1backed Yes | 3c | 912$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…d5debacked Yes | 4c | 897$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c5…d8babacked Yes | 4c | 894$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…13b3backed Yes | 4c | 874$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…7a00backed Yes | 5c | 873$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…7a20backed Yes | 5c | 870$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad7…0282backed Yes | 1c | 862.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…756ebacked Yes | 5c | 857$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 2c | 851.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…bc51backed Yes | 3c | 845$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3d…a3e7backed Yes | 5c | 844$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…4d4dbacked Yes | 5c | 840$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f7…4348backed Yes | 5c | 834$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…8898backed Yes | 4c | 827$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb497…c7c7backed Yes | 4c | 806$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5306…6729backed Yes | 4c | 805$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…ca1bbacked Yes | 3c | 794$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4750…e7d6backed Yes | 3c | 777$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…6b08backed Yes | 5c | 772$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…244dbacked Yes | 3c | 760$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a7…3433backed Yes | 3c | 760$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…494dbacked Yes | 3c | 698.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…ccb3backed Yes | 3c | 675$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.