F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x619b92b1f2b33773fed7e5475ec9ec99ee71fe2f6030dcaa5d85650c2314e2ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Yes | 2c | 8,856$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…0cd4backed Yes | 4c | 7,224$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed Yes | 6c | 7,000$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 6c | 5,382$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.35 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4367…e904backed Yes | 21c | 4,740$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 5c | 4,589$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.96 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 31c | 3,086$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.56 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,855$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,708$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.06 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,485$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6266…bd34backed Yes | 6c | 2,360$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Yes | 10c | 2,173$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 4c | 2,144$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.02 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 70c | 1,892$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.65 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,800$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 6c | 1,581$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…41fbbacked Yes | 24c | 1,488$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 15c | 1,479$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.22 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c85…d15dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,418$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 6c | 1,210$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f33…41bebacked Yes | 4c | 1,174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…6007backed Yes | 27c | 1,094$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 16c | 1,022$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.18 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…4fb9backed Yes | 3c | 984.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…b2edbacked Yes | 22c | 894.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…4bffbacked Yes | 26c | 878.07$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 7c | 823.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 69c | 810.95$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.35 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 783.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 722.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Yes | 11c | 685.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 3c | 655.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked No | 66c | 570.84$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.91 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 2c | 562$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 19c | 507.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 4c | 500.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 6c | 500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Yes | 2c | 496.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…2569backed Yes | 13c | 490$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…5a6ebacked Yes | 5c | 481.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fa…c771backed Yes | 3c | 423.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 3c | 419.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…e0dbbacked Yes | 10c | 396.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed Yes | 13c | 395.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf911…0596backed Yes | 3c | 367.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad7…0282backed Yes | 7c | 355.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 11c | 350$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Yes | 11c | 349$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…465fbacked Yes | 4c | 329.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 6c | 328.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Yes | 15c | 310.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459c…0b30backed Yes | 13c | 275.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b90…f0b0backed Yes | 7c | 273.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 5c | 263.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Yes | 40c | 250.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…538dbacked Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 225.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8934…a13cbacked Yes | 22c | 222.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 80c | 202.72$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0397…6f51backed Yes | 28c | 202.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked Yes | 10c | 196.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…1d68backed Yes | 10c | 191.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…9210backed Yes | 16c | 182.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a9…0508backed Yes | 31c | 179.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 9c | 137.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 137.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…5276backed Yes | 8c | 129.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…903bbacked Yes | 9c | 121.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…3a39backed Yes | 10c | 121$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Yes | 11c | 118.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 73c | 115.74$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…e1f9backed Yes | 18c | 114.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7684…15c4backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 33c | 108.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…52cbbacked Yes | 50c | 100.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd163…6c37backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf08…a8b8backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Yes | 41c | 97.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 12c | 86.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Yes | 37c | 85.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f3…af78backed Yes | 12c | 83.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Yes | 27c | 73.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…7e25backed Yes | 46c | 71.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Yes | 37c | 56.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Yes | 38c | 51.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Yes | 38c | 50.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 41c | 48.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Yes | 40c | 44.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Yes | 47c | 41.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed Yes | 38c | 40.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x196c…df7abacked Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…ffa2backed Yes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 70c | 21.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.