Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3375a2e8c05b7af82b95f4631a896d030958db4dee5ea2ea3266b7442f896aa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Vivo Keyd Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bbe…5503backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 7c | 64,451$4,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,511.56 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 3c | 15,974$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.36 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 15c | 13,016$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.45 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 13c | 6,608$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.31 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 6c | 5,889$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.79 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 13c | 5,741$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.28 | 203 | 48.8%99 W · 104 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 13c | 4,586$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.17 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 17c | 4,000$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.91 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…47e6backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 3c | 3,992$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 14c | 3,600$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 2c | 3,230$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 16c | 3,034$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.52 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6812…6646backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 18c | 2,080$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.29 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…8603backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 15c | 1,579$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 2c | 1,350$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 9c | 1,176$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 35%70 W · 130 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 17c | 1,160$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.08 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be0…2ef4backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 9c | 1,100$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…9e75backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 9c | 1,083$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 3c | 1,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 21c | 999.63$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 14c | 729.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc1…13fcbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 14c | 708.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…f2c7backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…917ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 15c | 648.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…babcbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 16c | 608.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fa…97fcbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 14c | 550$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 23c | 500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 13c | 491.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…9b63backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 11c | 458.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 8c | 350$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…6eb9backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…24f4backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 18c | 332.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…5b8bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 9c | 308.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…2ed6backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 200 | 28%56 W · 144 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…a5d9backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 9c | 253.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 14c | 249.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 17c | 247.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 10c | 238.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…9bf0backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 22c | 237.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 18c | 219.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aab…f908backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…51ddbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 10c | 199.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 19c | 176.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfabf…2814backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 14c | 167.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…d041backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 17c | 140$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…1310backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 15c | 138$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe565…01a4backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 14c | 110.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0988…f6f9backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9d…0991backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…e4cfbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdabe…94adbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa749…69fbbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbae…f235backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2a…fd6dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 23c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…8f11backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…4137backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…b299backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d5…f86cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.