Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fc8430e3c0dc10a68e5e14a13d80e3fbbd73424d9b222d1626dd59d8f1b0d16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x221a…3c8fbacked Yes | 71c | 7,064$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Yes | 70c | 4,208$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 29c | 3,998$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.25 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 35c | 2,312$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.85 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 38c | 2,211$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.74 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 39c | 1,769$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 74c | 1,491$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 46c | 968.99$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.62 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 30c | 962.47$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.74 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…e860backed Yes | 68c | 758.73$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab4…a7b3backed Yes | 70c | 668.24$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.47 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 71c | 650$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 13c | 570$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…fabbbacked No | 28c | 519.37$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 32c | 488.81$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 24c | 480.51$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 58c | 416.1$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.34 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 76c | 396$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 369.57$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.38 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 32c | 313.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 35c | 210$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 30c | 201.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 70c | 184.29$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…dc5ebacked Yes | 80c | 133.19$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 79c | 101.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 52c | 94.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 30c | 71.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Yes | 70c | 70.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Yes | 69c | 62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 71c | 56.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a33…4575backed Yes | 72c | 46.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…c033backed Yes | 71c | 42.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 28c | 39.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 71c | 35.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc837…8ef6backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf4…323cbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-08-23?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.